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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 3 · WED, 29 APR · 02:00 LOCAL
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DEPORTES TOLIMA
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME
COQUIMBO UNIDO
⚽ 59' Sebastián Guzmán ⚽ 66' Luis Sandoval ⚽ 78' Jersson González
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 88/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
DEP
3 – 0
COQ
most likely scoreline · 13.0% probability
AI PICKS DEPORTES TOLIMA TO WIN 96%
FT 3 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 3 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
DEP WIN 96%
DRAW 3%
COQ WIN 1%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DEPORTES TOLIMA TO WIN

AI consensus across 96% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 96% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tolima 3-0 up with 11 mins left; comeback mathematically impossible — lock in home win.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY DEPORTES TOLIMA FAVORED
96%
3-goal lead past 75' with only 11 minutes remaining — <1% comeback probability
+25.0%
Coquimbo already yellow-carded (reduced intensity) and withdrawn attackers via substitution
+20.0%
Tolima substituting to control (5 of 5 available subs used by 79') — game management
+15.0%
WHY COQUIMBO UNIDO CHALLENGED
1%
3-goal lead past 75' with only 11 minutes remaining — <1% comeback probability
+25.0%
Coquimbo already yellow-carded (reduced intensity) and withdrawn attackers via substitution
+20.0%
Tolima substituting to control (5 of 5 available subs used by 79') — game management
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 3-goal lead past 75' with only 11 minutes remaining — <1% comeback probability
  • Coquimbo already yellow-carded (reduced intensity) and withdrawn attackers via substitution
  • Tolima substituting to control (5 of 5 available subs used by 79') — game management
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 59' SEBASTIáN ⚽ 66' LUIS SANDO ⚽ 78' JERSSON GO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.0%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.0
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
·
1
6.8
3.6
0.9
0.2
·
·
·
2
11.6
6.0
1.6
0.3
·
·
·
3
13.0
6.8
1.8
0.3
·
·
·
4
11.0
5.7
1.5
0.3
·
·
·
5
7.4
3.9
1.0
0.2
·
·
·
6+
4.2
2.2
0.6
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
3 — 0 13.0%
2 — 0 11.6%
4 — 0 11.0%
5 — 0 7.4%
1 — 0 6.8%
Top 5 = 49.9% · rest 50.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.35
92.0%
1.09
+116.0%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.63
96.0%
1.04
+56.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.27
97.0%
1.03
+22.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.12
99.0%
1.01
+11.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.25
8.0%
12.50
-82.0%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.48
3.0%
33.33
-89.6%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.23
4.0%
25.00
-91.1%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
6.11
1.0%
100.00
-93.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.