GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DENDER 48%
CONF 45 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · FINAL · SAT, 23 MAY · 16:15 LOCAL
DENDER
16TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W L L
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
LOMMEL UNITED
W W W W W
· LAST 5
Bryan Goncalves
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Bryan Goncalves
Dender · 98 mins
· 56% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
4
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
72%
8
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lautaro López · assist Zalán Vancsa
    LOM
  2. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Malcolm Viltard · assist David Toshevski
    DEN
  3. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Roman Kvet · assist Desmond Acquah
    DEN
  4. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tom Reyners · assist Nicolas Rommens
    LOM
  5. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jason van Duiven · assist Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
    LOM
  6. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bruny Nsimba · assist Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui
    DEN
  7. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Noah Mbamba · assist B. De Kerf
    DEN
  8. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jhon Banguera
    LOM
  9. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jhon Banguera · assist Henry Oware
    LOM
  10. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Henry Oware
    LOM
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ragnar Oratmangoen · assist Amine Daali
    DEN
  12. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luc Marijnissen
    DEN
  13. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
    LOM
  14. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui
    DEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DENDER AVG 7.7
LOMMEL UNITED AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
443.0
PASSES
322.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
72.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
2.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DENDER 2 shots
Bryan Goncalves
1/1
Ragnar Oratmangoen
0/1
LOMMEL UNITED 1 shots
Sam De Grand
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 4-4-2
3-4-1-2
4-4-2
7.7
93
GAUTHIER
 8.2
7
BRYAN GON
18
NATHAN RO
 7.5
5
LUC MARIJ
 7.9
11
RAGNAR OR
17
NOAH MBAM
 7.2
24
MALCOLM V
70
JUNIOR MA
77
BRUNY NSI
90
MOHAMED B
16
ROMAN KVE
 7.5
23
MATTHIAS
 7.3
79
SAM DE GR
 7.9
5
DRIES WOU
 7.2
13
JHON BANG
3
TIMOTHY E
10
TOM REYNE
 7.2
6
JOEY PELU
18
LAUTARO L
9
JASON VAN
30
RALF SEUN
15
LUCAS SCH
SUBSTITUTES · DENDER
88
Fabio Ferrar...
D
21
Kobe Cools
D
30
Guillaume Di...
G
45
Amine Daali
M
67
Nail Moutha-...
D
6
Bo De Kerf
M
23
Desmond Acqu...
M
9
David Toshev...
F
15
Krzysztof Ko...
M
COACH: Yannick Ferrera
SUBSTITUTES · LOMMEL UNITED
11
Robin van Du...
F
65
Emile Vandec...
D
14
Jesper Tolin...
D
1
Nikola Ivezi...
G
34
Henry Oware
D
8
Nicolas Romm...
M
98
Mohamed Sala...
F
93
Zalán Vancsa
M
73
Alexander Re...
F
COACH: Lee Johnson
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
—
DEN MANAGER
Yannick Ferrera
head coach
LOM MANAGER
Lee Johnson
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
DEN WINS
2
DRAWS
2
LOM WINS
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
9 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
3.17
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 6
17 May 2026
Lommel United
3 – 2
Dender
L
DENDER LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W L L
LOMMEL UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Club Brugge KV 40 28 4 8 +46 57
W D W W W
1 Zulte Waregem 36 13 9 14 0 48
W W W W W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W D L W L
1 Genk 40 15 14 11 +4 38
W D D W L
2 Standard Liege 40 16 9 15 -2 37
L W D W W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W D W W W
2 Cercle Brugge 36 10 11 15 -5 41
L L W W W
2 Union St. Gilloise 40 25 11 4 +39 53
W D L W L
3 Charleroi 40 14 9 17 0 34
W D L W W
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
W L D L W
3 RAAL La Louvière 36 7 13 16 -15 34
W L L L L
3 St. Truiden 40 22 5 13 +15 43
W L D L W
4 Anderlecht 40 15 10 15 -3 33
L W D D L
4 Dender 36 5 10 21 -31 25
D L L W L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
L D D D L
4 KVC Westerlo 40 14 10 16 -7 33
L L W L D
5 Antwerp 40 13 9 18 -5 31
W D L L L
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L D D L W
5 Gent 40 13 12 15 -4 29
L D D D L
6 KV Mechelen 40 13 12 15 -13 29
L D D L W
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
L W D D L
6 OH Leuven 40 10 10 20 -19 23
L D W L D
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
W D D W L
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
L W D W W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
L L W L D
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
W D L L L
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W D L W W
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
L D W L D
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L L W W W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
W L L L L
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
D L L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luc Marijnissen
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ragnar Oratmangoen
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Henry Oware
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jhon Banguera
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jhon Banguera
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Noah Mbamba
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bruny Nsimba
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jason van Duiven
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tom Reyners
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Roman Kvet
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Malcolm Viltard
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lautaro López
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
DENDER WIN
1.90
52.6% implied
↑ best 2.15
DRAW
3.58
27.9% implied
↑ best 3.85
LOMMEL UNITED WIN
3.57
28% implied
↑ best 3.90

Market favors Dender. AI projects DENDER 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DENDER 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.83 3.60 3.75 +0.2%
1xBet 1.84 3.54 3.66 -0.2%
888Sport 1.85 3.50 3.60 -0.6%
Bet365 1.85 3.50 3.50 -0.6%
Betano 1.88 3.85 3.85 +2.0%
BetVictor 1.90 3.70 3.70 +1.0%
Dafabet 2.15 3.65 3.20 +1.5%
Marathonbet 1.80 3.58 3.64 +0.1%
Pinnacle 1.98 3.70 3.62 +1.0%
SBO 1.96 3.22 3.04 -3.0%
Superbet 1.88 3.75 3.90 +1.3%
Unibet 1.97 3.50 3.40 -0.6%
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.60 -0.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.15
2.5 O 1.67 U 2.13
3.5 O 2.64 U 1.43
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.60 10 bks
NO
2.21 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.11
Away -0.5 1.86
Away -0.75 1.64
Away -1 1.45
Away -1.25 1.36
Away -1.5 1.29
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.