AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA 42%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 4 · SUN, 09 AUG · 20:45 LOCAL
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA
4TH · 11 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D L W
FT
2 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
NEWELLS OLD BOYS
W W D L W
· 6TH · 10 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 32' F. Román ⚽ 68' T. Pérez
GOALS
⚽ 83' Bruno Cabrera
D. Barbona
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
D. Barbona
Defensa Y Justicia · 81 mins
· 30% pass acc
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.65
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.58
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
9
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
3
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 7'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    A. Hausch · assist D. Blanco
    DEF
  2. 31'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jeronimo Russo
    NEW
  3. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    F. Román · assist C. Pérez
    DEF
  4. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jeronimo Russo
    NEW
  5. 40'
    Card · Red Card
    Jeronimo Russo
    NEW
  6. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Portillo
    DEF
  7. 46'
    Card · Yellow Card
    C. Pérez
    DEF
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    T. Rios · assist Martín Luciano
    NEW
  9. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    D. Blanco · assist J. Lucco
    DEF
  10. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    L. Fernández · assist T. Pérez
    DEF
  11. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    A. Portillo · assist V. Loza
    DEF
  12. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    T. Pérez · assist V. Loza
    DEF
  13. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    J. Gomez · assist R. Herrera
    NEW
  14. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    F. Guch · assist Mateo García
    NEW
  15. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    I. Ramirez · assist Francisco Scarpeccio
    NEW
  16. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    D. Barbona · assist M. Porcel
    DEF
  17. 83'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bruno Cabrera · assist Martín Ortega
    NEW
  18. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Martín Ortega · assist Franco Escobar
    NEW
  19. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    F. Román
    DEF
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA AVG 7.7
NEWELLS OLD BOYS AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
0.6
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
5.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
446.0
PASSES
305.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
7.0
8.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA 5 shots
F. Román
1/2
C. Pérez
1/2
S. Sosa
0/1
NEWELLS OLD BOYS 4 shots
Bruno Cabrera
1/2
W. Mazzantti
1/1
I. Ramirez
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.650.58
1.3 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 32' 68' 83' H 1.65 A 0.58 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
SUBSTITUTES · DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA
26
J. Lucco
F
5
J. López
M
44
Jonás Cabrer...
M
7
T. Pérez
F
22
M. Porcel
M
28
V. Loza
D
6
Ezequiel Bur...
D
40
Máximo Rodrí...
D
2
Samuel Lucer...
D
36
L. Amadé
G
27
D. Blanco
M
45
T. Martinez
M
COACH: Mariano Soso
SUBSTITUTES · NEWELLS OLD BOYS
10
Valentino Ac...
M
18
Mateo García
F
15
Alan Soñora
M
35
B. Benedetto
M
26
R. Herrera
M
27
Lucas Gómez
M
8
David Sotelo
M
3
Martín Lucia...
D
2
Ian Glavinov...
D
24
Franco Escob...
D
21
Gabriel Aria...
G
36
Francisco Sc...
F
COACH: Lucas Bernardi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DEF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Carranza
DEF MANAGER
Mariano Soso
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Lucas Bernardi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
DEF WINS
1
DRAWS
4
NEW WINS
50%
10%
40%
9 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L W
NEWELLS OLD BOYS LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA #4
Won · already at 11 pts
Knockout Phase
NEWELLS OLD BOYS #6
Lost · already at 10 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Instituto Cordoba 6 4 1 1 +3 13
D W W W W
1 Sarmiento Junin 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L W L W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W L L W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D D D W D
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
D W L L L
2 Gimnasia M. 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Argentinos JRS 5 4 0 1 +4 12
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Belgrano Cordoba 6 3 1 2 +3 10
L W W D L
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 6 3 3 0 +4 12
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L W L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W W D L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Rosario Central 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W W D L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Defensa Y Justicia 6 3 2 1 0 11
W D W L W
5 Atletico Tucuman 6 2 3 1 +2 9
D W L D W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
D W L L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W D L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 6 3 1 2 +3 10
D W L L W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Barracas Central 6 3 0 3 -1 9
L L L W W
6 Newells Old Boys 6 3 1 2 +2 10
W W L D L
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L W L L W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
D W L L W
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Gimnasia L.P. 6 3 0 3 -2 9
L L W W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
D L W D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Platense 6 2 2 2 -3 8
W D W L L
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
W L L W L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
D L L L D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Deportivo Riestra 6 2 1 3 +1 7
D L W L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Tigre 5 2 2 1 +2 8
D W D W L
9 Huracan 6 2 2 2 0 8
D L W D L
9 Union Santa Fe 6 2 1 3 -1 7
W L L W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
D W W W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L L L W W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Boca Juniors 6 1 4 1 -2 7
D D D W D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
W D W L W
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Independ. Rivadavia 6 2 2 2 -1 8
D L W L W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D W D W L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W W L W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W W W L
11 San Lorenzo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D W L L W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Banfield 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L W L D W
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 0 4 0 6
L W L L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L W L D W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
W D W L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Racing Club 6 1 2 3 -3 5
D L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L W W L L
13 Lanus 5 2 0 3 0 6
L W L L W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W L D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 6 1 2 3 -4 5
D L L D L
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago 5 2 0 3 -2 6
L W W L L
14 River Plate 6 1 1 4 -2 4
D W L L L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L D L L L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W W L D L
15 Aldosivi 6 0 2 4 -5 2
L D L L L
15 Talleres Cordoba 5 1 0 4 -4 3
L L W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L L D L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D L W L L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · F. Román
    Foul
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Martín Ortega
  • 83'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bruno Cabrera
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · D. Barbona
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · I. Ramirez
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · F. Guch
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Gomez
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · T. Pérez
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · A. Portillo
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · L. Fernández
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · D. Blanco
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · T. Rios
  • 46'
    Card · Yellow Card · C. Pérez
    Foul
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Portillo
    Foul
  • 40'
    Card · Red Card · Jeronimo Russo
    Foul
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jeronimo Russo
    Foul
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · F. Román
  • 31'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jeronimo Russo
    Foul
  • 7'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · A. Hausch
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
DEFENSA Y JUSTIC WIN
2.04
49% implied
↑ best 2.30
DRAW
3.04
32.9% implied
↑ best 3.25
NEWELLS OLD BOYS WIN
4.07
24.6% implied
↑ best 4.50

Market favors Defensa Y Justicia. AI projects DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 3.00 3.75 +3.3%
1xBet 1.99 3.13 4.32 +6.9%
888Sport 2.30 2.80 3.40 +0.6%
Bet365 1.95 3.10 4.50 +7.8%
Betano 1.95 3.25 4.35 +7.0%
Betfair 2.00 3.00 4.20 +6.2%
BetVictor 2.00 3.00 4.33 +6.9%
Dafabet 1.98 3.05 4.20 +6.2%
Marathonbet 1.95 3.08 4.25 +6.5%
Pinnacle 2.05 3.17 4.32 +6.9%
SBO 2.03 2.94 3.62 +2.4%
Superbet 2.02 3.15 4.25 +6.5%
Unibet 2.08 3.05 3.85 +4.0%
William Hill 2.15 2.88 3.70 +3.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.48 U 2.54
2.5 O 2.50 U 1.51
3.5 O 4.90 U 1.16
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.10 11 bks
NO
1.66 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.15
Away -0.5 1.79
Away -0.75 1.58
Away -1 1.36
Away -1.25 1.28
Away -1.5 1.22
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.