GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–3 · NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 98% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 92 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · WED, 19 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
DC UNITED
11TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D W D
FT
0 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
D L L D W
· 4TH · 34 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 23' A. Yusuf ⚽ 45' A. Yusuf ⚽ 66' A. Yusuf
A. Yusuf
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
A. Yusuf
New England Revolution · 77 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 47% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.48
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.63
40%
BALL POSSESSION %
60%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
15
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
91%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 13'
    Card · Yellow Card
    B. Raines
    NEW
  2. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Yusuf · assist P. Miller
    NEW
  3. 26'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Dozzell
    DC
  4. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Polster
    NEW
  5. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Yusuf · assist J. Harrison
    NEW
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    S. Nealis · assist B. Servania
    DC
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    J. Hopkins · assist N. Ordaz
    DC
  8. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Yusuf · assist J. Harrison
    NEW
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    L. Munteanu · assist Hosei Kijima
    DC
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    K. Nono · assist Nikola Markovic
    DC
  11. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    D. Turgeman · assist W. Harris
    NEW
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. Polster · assist Cody Baker
    NEW
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    J. Harrison · assist Marcos Zambrano
    NEW
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Carles Gil · assist Judah Siqueira
    NEW
  15. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    P. Miller · assist G. Yow
    NEW
  16. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    A. Dozzell · assist J. Stroud
    DC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DC UNITED AVG 7.0
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION AVG 8.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
2.6
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
2.0
ON TARGET
7.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
6.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
40.0%
POSSESSION %
60.0%
311.0
PASSES
470.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
91.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
7.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DC UNITED 2 shots
L. Munteanu
0/2
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 4 shots
A. Yusuf
3/4
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.48 – 2.63
2.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.6 0.0 HT 23' 45' 66' H 1.48 A 2.63 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
6.9
1
S. JOHNSO
6
K. KUROKA
13
S. NEALIS
3
L. BARTLE
5
S. HEFTI
 7.2
25
J. HOPKIN
21
A. DOZZEL
 7.3
4
M. PELTOL
2
K. NONO
 6.7
11
L. MUNTEA
9
T. BARIBO
 7.5
30
M. TURNER
23
W. SANDS
 7.7
2
M. FOFANA
 7.2
22
ETHAN KOH
8
M. POLSTE
 9.9
80
A. YUSUF
21
B. RAINES
10
CARLES GI
25
P. MILLER
99
D. TURGEM
 8.3
11
J. HARRIS
SUBSTITUTES · DC UNITED
32
O. Avilez
F
8
J. Stroud
M
77
Hosei Kijima
M
23
B. Servania
M
27
Nikola Marko...
D
26
A. Bono
G
22
N. Ordaz
F
COACH: Rene Weiler
SUBSTITUTES · NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
17
Marcos Zambr...
F
77
D. Fagundez
M
14
J. Yueill
M
7
G. Yow
F
65
Judah Siquei...
F
15
Cody Baker
D
4
T. Beason
D
33
D. Parisian
G
27
W. Harris
F
COACH: Marko Mitrovic
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ricardo Fierro, USA
—
DC MANAGER
Rene Weiler
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Marko Mitrovic
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
DC WINS
1
DRAWS
6
NEW WINS
30%
10%
60%
10 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
11 Apr 2026
New England Revolution
1 – 0
DC United
L
09 Aug 2025
New England Revolution
2 – 0
DC United
L
28 May 2025
DC United
1 – 1
New England Revolution
D
05 Oct 2024
New England Revolution
1 – 2
DC United
W
25 Feb 2024
DC United
3 – 1
New England Revolution
W
DC UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D W D
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–3 · result locked
DC UNITED #11
Lost · already at 24 pts
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION #4
Won · already at 34 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · A. Dozzell
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · P. Miller
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Carles Gil
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · J. Harrison
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. Polster
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · D. Turgeman
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · K. Nono
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · L. Munteanu
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Yusuf
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Hopkins
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · S. Nealis
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Yusuf
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Polster
  • 26'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Dozzell
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Yusuf
  • 13'
    Card · Yellow Card · B. Raines
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
DC UNITED WIN
2.54
39.4% implied
↑ best 2.63
DRAW
3.51
28.5% implied
↑ best 3.60
NEW ENGLAND REVO WIN
2.60
38.5% implied
↑ best 2.66

Market favors DC United. AI projects NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 98% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 98% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.50 3.60 2.56 +58.9%
888Sport 2.45 3.50 2.50 +58.0%
Bet365 2.60 3.50 2.60 +59.5%
Betano 2.60 3.45 2.65 +60.3%
Betfair 2.55 3.50 2.63 +60.0%
BetVictor 2.55 3.50 2.55 +58.8%
Dafabet 2.60 3.55 2.65 +60.3%
Marathonbet 2.54 3.45 2.57 +59.1%
Pinnacle 2.63 3.60 2.66 +60.4%
Superbet 2.60 3.50 2.65 +60.3%
Unibet 2.40 3.50 2.65 +60.3%
William Hill 2.45 3.50 2.50 +58.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.19
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.09
3.5 O 2.76 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.26 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.65
Away -0.5 1.51
Away -0.75 1.36
Away -1 1.24
Away -1.25 1.25
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.