GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–3 · CHICAGO FIRE 95% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
DC UNITED
11TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D D W
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
CHICAGO FIRE
D W W W L
· 3RD · 36 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 41' T. Baribo
GOALS
⚽ 62' R. Lod ⚽ 71' Philip Zinckernagel (P) ⚽ 71' H. Cuypers ⚽ 87' Maren Haile-Selassie
H. Cuypers
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 10% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: DC United vs Chicago Fire
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.69
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.35
40%
BALL POSSESSION %
60%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
15
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
69%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
7
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dje Tah D'Avilla
    CHI
  2. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    T. Baribo
    DC
  3. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jonathan Bamba
    CHI
  4. 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    R. Lod · assist Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jonathan Bamba · assist P. Dithejane
    CHI
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    R. Lod · assist Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  7. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    T. Baribo · assist J. Stroud
    DC
  8. 71'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Philip Zinckernagel · assist Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  9. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    H. Cuypers
    CHI
  10. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jack Elliott
    CHI
  11. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  12. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    J. Hopkins · assist Jacob Murrell
    DC
  13. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jonathan Dean
    CHI
  14. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Philip Zinckernagel · assist Chris Mueller
    CHI
  15. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4
    H. Cuypers · assist Jason Shokalook
    CHI
  16. 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card
    Andrew Gutman
    CHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DC UNITED AVG 7.1
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
2.4
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
6.0
ON TARGET
8.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
40.0%
POSSESSION %
60.0%
287.0
PASSES
447.0
69.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
5.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DC UNITED 2 shots
T. Baribo
1/1
Peglow
0/1
CHICAGO FIRE 4 shots
H. Cuypers
1/2
R. Lod
1/1
Maren Haile-Selassie
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.69 – 2.35
1.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.4 0.0 HT 41' 62' 71' 71' 87' H 0.69 A 2.35 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 19%
81% A
3
EVENTS LOGGED
13
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
7.3
1
S. JOHNSO
6
K. KUROKA
15
K. ROWLES
3
L. BARTLE
27
NIKOLA MA
 6.6
7
PEGLOW
 6.7
23
B. SERVAN
 6.9
4
M. PELTOL
25
J. HOPKIN
 7.9
9
T. BARIBO
11
L. MUNTEA
1
CHRIS BRA
15
ANDREW GU
 6.9
4
M. MBOKAZ
3
JACK ELLI
24
JONATHAN
 6.9
42
DJE TAH D
22
MAURICIO
19
JONATHAN
 7.5
17
R. LOD
11
PHILIP ZI
 8.0
9
H. CUYPER
SUBSTITUTES · DC UNITED
77
Hosei Kijima
M
30
Caden Clark
M
48
Gavin Turner
M
8
J. Stroud
M
12
Conner Antle...
D
22
Aaron Herrer...
D
24
Jordan Farr
G
26
A. Bono
G
17
Jacob Murrel...
F
COACH: Rene Weiler
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
20
Jason Shokal...
F
27
Dylan Borso
F
12
P. Dithejane
F
7
Maren Haile-...
M
16
Joel Waterma...
D
14
V. Radojevic
D
5
Sam Rogers
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
8
Chris Muelle...
F
COACH: Mario Barcena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Fierro
—
DC MANAGER
Rene Weiler
head coach
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
DC WINS
3
DRAWS
4
CHI WINS
30%
30%
40%
13 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Mar 2026
Chicago Fire
1 – 2
DC United
W
07 Jun 2025
DC United
1 – 7
Chicago Fire
L
02 Mar 2025
Chicago Fire
2 – 2
DC United
D
08 Sep 2024
Chicago Fire
1 – 2
DC United
W
25 May 2024
DC United
1 – 1
Chicago Fire
D
DC UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D D W
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
DC UNITED #11
Lost · already at 24 pts
CHICAGO FIRE #3
Won · already at 36 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card · Andrew Gutman
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4 · H. Cuypers
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Philip Zinckernagel
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jonathan Dean
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Hopkins
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maren Haile-Selassie
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jack Elliott
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · H. Cuypers
  • 71'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Philip Zinckernagel
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · T. Baribo
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · R. Lod
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jonathan Bamba
  • 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal · R. Lod
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jonathan Bamba
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · T. Baribo
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dje Tah D'Avilla
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
DC UNITED WIN
2.75
36.4% implied
↑ best 2.85
DRAW
3.47
28.8% implied
↑ best 3.60
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
2.42
41.3% implied
↑ best 2.50

Market favors Chicago Fire. AI projects CHICAGO FIRE 95% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHICAGO FIRE 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.70 3.55 2.40 +53.3%
888Sport 2.80 3.30 2.30 +51.5%
Bet365 2.75 3.60 2.45 +54.2%
Betano 2.75 3.50 2.50 +55.0%
Betfair 2.75 3.50 2.38 +53.0%
BetVictor 2.70 3.50 2.40 +53.3%
Dafabet 2.80 3.60 2.45 +54.2%
Marathonbet 2.69 3.48 2.42 +53.7%
Pinnacle 2.81 3.59 2.50 +55.0%
SBO 2.66 3.34 2.41 +53.5%
Unibet 2.85 3.40 2.40 +53.3%
William Hill 2.70 3.30 2.40 +53.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.14
2.5 O 1.73 U 2.08
3.5 O 2.80 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.57 9 bks
NO
2.26 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.58
Away -0.5 1.45
Away -0.75 1.32
Away -1 1.18
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.