GOALSENSE
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Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · FRI, 21 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
CORINTHIANS
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME
ROSARIO CENTRAL
⚽ 80' Breno
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
COR
1 – 1
ROS
most likely scoreline · 15.0% probability
AI PICKS CORINTHIANS TO WIN 48%
FT 1 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
COR WIN 48%
DRAW 32%
ROS WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 80% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 80% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Data quality severely limited; treat as weak heuristic. Recent 0-0 H2H and defensive standings suggest low-scoring draw likely.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY CORINTHIANS FAVORED
48%
Corinthians home edge (WW recent) vs Rosario away weakness (WWLLW) partially offset by Rosario's superior early-season form (WDWWD)
+15.0%
WHY ROSARIO CENTRAL CHALLENGED
20%
Critical data gaps: no xG, no season GF/GA clarity, no lineups available
+25.0%
H2H 0-0 and Rosario's perfect defensive record (GA 0-1) suggest tight, low-scoring match
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Critical data gaps: no xG, no season GF/GA clarity, no lineups available
  • H2H 0-0 and Rosario's perfect defensive record (GA 0-1) suggest tight, low-scoring match
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 80' BRENO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 15.0%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.0
5.4
1.6
0.4
0.1
·
1
15.0
13.4
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.3
7.4
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
3.1
2.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 15.0%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.4%
0 — 1 12.0%
2 — 0 8.3%
Top 5 = 62.3% · rest 37.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.11
38.0%
2.63
+18.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.42
44.0%
2.27
+6.4%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.20
48.0%
2.08
+5.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
80.0%
1.25
-0.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.40
68.0%
1.47
-5.0%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.81
32.0%
3.13
-10.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.66
52.0%
1.92
-13.9%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.93
20.0%
5.00
-21.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.