GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · WED, 19 AUG · 22:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
COQUIMBO UNIDO
PEN
0 – 0
AFTER PENALTIES
PLATENSE
⚽ 120+1' Sebastián Galani ⚽ 120+2' Nicolás Johansen ⚽ 120+3' Elvis Hernández ⚽ 120+4' Juan Cornejo ⚽ 120+5' Diego Sánchez ⚽ 120+6' Alejandro Azócar ⚽ 120+7' Salvador Cordero
GOALS
⚽ 120+1' Agustín Lagos ⚽ 120+2' Mateo Mendia ⚽ 120+3' Nico López ⚽ 120+4' Luciano Giménez ⚽ 120+5' Franco Zapiola ⚽ 120+6' Juan Cozzani ⚽ 120+7' Martín Barrios
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
COQ
1 – 0
PLA
most likely scoreline · 16.2% probability
AI PICKS COQUIMBO UNIDO TO WIN 44%
FT 0 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
COQ WIN 44%
DRAW 33%
PLA WIN 23%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 77% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 77% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early scoreless draw in tight Copa Libertadores opener; home edge modest with Coquimbo's superior recent form.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY COQUIMBO UNIDO FAVORED
44%
Only 4 minutes played — scoreline and xG minimal; home advantage + Coquimbo's 2-win form edge assert slowly
+25.0%
Bookmaker odds (Home 41.7%) underweight Coquimbo's home advantage and recent wins; AI +2–3% edge justifies slight home lean
+15.0%
WHY PLATENSE CHALLENGED
23%
Platense road form poor (WLLLW) vs Coquimbo home form solid (WWD); league tables nearly level (10 vs 10 pts)
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Only 4 minutes played — scoreline and xG minimal; home advantage + Coquimbo's 2-win form edge assert slowly
  • Bookmaker odds (Home 41.7%) underweight Coquimbo's home advantage and recent wins; AI +2–3% edge justifies slight home lean
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 121' SEBASTIáN ⚽ 121' AGUSTíN L ⚽ 122' MATEO MEND ⚽ 122' NICOLáS J ⚽ 123' NICO LóPE ⚽ 123' ELVIS HERN ⚽ 124' JUAN CORNE ⚽ 124' LUCIANO GI ⚽ 125' FRANCO ZAP ⚽ 125' DIEGO SáN ⚽ 126' JUAN COZZA ⚽ 126' ALEJANDRO ⚽ 127' MARTíN BA ⚽ 127' SALVADOR C
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 14 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.3
5.0
1.4
0.3
·
·
1
16.2
13.3
5.4
1.5
0.3
·
·
2
8.7
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.1
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.2%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.3%
0 — 1 12.3%
2 — 0 8.7%
Top 5 = 65.3% · rest 34.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.00
38.0%
2.63
+14.2%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.38
44.0%
2.27
+4.9%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.31
77.0%
1.30
+0.8%
—
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.89
33.0%
3.03
-4.7%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.38
67.0%
1.49
-7.9%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.35
38.0%
2.63
-10.8%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.56
56.0%
1.79
-12.5%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.35
23.0%
4.35
-22.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.