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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CONGO DR 48%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · SAT, 27 JUN · 23:30 LOCAL
CONGO DR
12TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L
90'
3 – 1
HT · 0-1
UZBEKISTAN
L L L
· 4TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 68' Yoane Wissa (P) ⚽ 78' Fiston Mayele ⚽ 90+1' Yoane Wissa
GOALS
⚽ 10' Eldor Shomurodov
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Congo DR · 90'

LIVE
UZBEKIST CONGO DR

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

CONGO DR UZBEKIST
⚽ 68' ⚽ 78' ⚽ 90' CONGO DR UZBEKISTAN 60' 75' 90'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 90'

2.25
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.20
59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
3
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
2
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Eldor Shomurodov · assist Akmal Mozgovoy
    UZB
  2. 17'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Nathanaël Mbuku
    CON
  3. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Noah Sadiki
    CON
  4. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Abdukodir Khusanov
    UZB
  5. 45'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nathanaël Mbuku
    CON
  6. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sherzod Nasrullaev
    UZB
  7. 51'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Cédric Bakambu · assist Fiston Mayele
    CON
  8. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Otabek Shukurov · assist Odiljon Khamrobekov
    UZB
  9. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dostonbek Khamdamov · assist Azizjon Ganiev
    UZB
  10. 62'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Samuel Moutoussamy
    CON
  11. 68'
    Goal · Penalty
    Yoane Wissa
    CON
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Brian Cipenga · assist Théo Bongonda
    CON
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Samuel Moutoussamy · assist Ngal'ayel Mukau
    CON
  14. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Nathanaël Mbuku · assist Meschak Elia
    CON
  15. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Abbosbek Fayzullaev · assist Oston Urunov
    UZB
  16. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fiston Mayele
    CON
  17. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jakhongir Urozov · assist Igor Sergeev
    UZB
  18. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Akmal Mozgovoy · assist Jamshid Iskandarov
    UZB
  19. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Arthur Masuaku · assist Joris Kayembe
    CON
  20. 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yoane Wissa · assist Meschak Elia
    CON
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
0.2
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
3.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
12.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
465.0
PASSES
327.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
3.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
15.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CONGO DR 1 shots
Chancel Mbemba
0/1
UZBEKISTAN 3 shots
Eldor Shomurodov
1/2
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.25 – 0.20
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 68' 78' 90' 10' H 2.25 A 0.20 KO 30' 60' 90'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 3-4-2-1
4-4-2
3-4-2-1
1
LIONEL MP
 7.2
26
ARTHUR MA
 7.0
4
AXEL TUAN
 7.0
22
CHANCEL M
2
AARON WAN
9
BRIAN CIP
 7.3
14
NOAH SADI
 7.0
8
SAMUEL MO
7
NATHANAëL
20
YOANE WIS
17
CéDRIC BA
12
ABDUVOKHI
26
JAKHONGIR
2
ABDUKODIR
5
RUSTAM AS
13
SHERZOD N
 6.9
6
AKMAL MOZ
7
OTABEK SH
 6.7
3
KHOZHIAKB
 6.7
22
ABBOSBEK
17
DOSTONBEK
 7.2
14
ELDOR SHO
SUBSTITUTES · CONGO DR
11
Gaël Kakuta
M
10
Théo Bongond...
M
25
Edo Kayembe
M
6
Ngal'ayel Mu...
M
19
Fiston Mayel...
F
13
Meschak Elia
F
18
Charles Pick...
M
15
Aaron Tshibo...
M
3
Steve Kapuad...
D
12
Joris Kayemb...
D
24
Gedeon Kalul...
D
5
Dylan Batubi...
D
16
Timothy Fayu...
G
21
Matthieu Epo...
G
23
Simon Banza
F
COACH: Sebastien Desabre
SUBSTITUTES · UZBEKISTAN
11
Oston Urunov
M
10
Ruslanbek Ji...
M
23
Sherzod Esan...
M
18
Abdulla Abdu...
M
19
Azizjon Gani...
M
9
Odiljon Kham...
M
8
Jamshid Iska...
M
20
Azizbek Aman...
F
24
Bekhruz Kari...
D
15
Umarbek Eshm...
D
4
Farrukh Sayf...
D
25
Avazbek Ulma...
D
1
Utkir Yusupo...
G
16
Botirali Erg...
G
21
Igor Sergeev
F
COACH: Fabio Cannavaro
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CON · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

UZB · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Felix Zwayer, Germany
—
CON MANAGER
Sebastien Desabre
head coach
UZB MANAGER
Fabio Cannavaro
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
CON WINS
1
DRAWS
0
UZB WINS
100%
CONGO DR LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L
UZBEKISTAN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L
LIVE IMPACT Currently 3–1 · scenario projection
CONGO DR #3
If win holds: 4 pts
UZBEKISTAN #4
If loss holds: 0 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
W W W
1 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
D L W
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W D W
1 Colombia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W
1 Argentina 2 2 0 0 +5 6
W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W D
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
W D D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W W D
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W
2 Austria 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W
2 Portugal 2 1 1 0 +5 4
W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
W W L
2 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
W W D
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
W L L
3 Algeria 2 1 0 1 -2 3
W L
3 Congo DR 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
W D L
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L
4 Uzbekistan 2 0 0 2 -7 0
L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
W L D
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
D W L
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
W L L
7 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
8 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Algeria 2 1 0 1 -2 3
W L
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
11 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
12 Congo DR 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yoane Wissa
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Arthur Masuaku
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Akmal Mozgovoy
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jakhongir Urozov
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fiston Mayele
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Abbosbek Fayzullaev
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Nathanaël Mbuku
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Samuel Moutoussamy
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Brian Cipenga
  • 68'
    Goal · Penalty · Yoane Wissa
  • 62'
    Card · Yellow Card · Samuel Moutoussamy
    Tripping
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dostonbek Khamdamov
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Otabek Shukurov
  • 51'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Cédric Bakambu
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sherzod Nasrullaev
    Holding
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Nathanaël Mbuku
    Roughing
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Abdukodir Khusanov
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · Noah Sadiki
    Roughing
  • 17'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Nathanaël Mbuku
  • 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Eldor Shomurodov
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CONGO DR WIN
1.72
58.1% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
3.75
26.7% implied
↑ best 3.91
UZBEKISTAN WIN
4.97
20.1% implied
↑ best 5.25

Market favors Congo DR. AI projects CONGO DR 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CONGO DR 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.74 3.65 4.50 +3.8%
1xBet 1.76 3.90 5.24 +6.9%
888Sport 1.67 3.60 4.60 +4.3%
Bet365 1.73 3.70 5.00 +6.0%
Betano 1.78 3.80 4.90 +5.6%
Betfair 1.70 3.90 5.00 +6.0%
BetVictor 1.67 3.60 5.25 +7.0%
Marathonbet 1.71 3.80 5.10 +6.4%
Pinnacle 1.75 3.91 5.10 +6.4%
SBO 1.69 3.73 5.10 +6.4%
Unibet 1.71 3.75 5.10 +6.4%
William Hill 1.70 3.60 4.80 +5.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.37 U 2.92
2.5 O 2.22 U 1.66
3.5 O 3.97 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.07 10 bks
NO
1.69 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.60
Away -0.5 2.16
Away -0.75 1.89
Away -1 1.60
Away -1.25 1.46
Away -1.5 1.36
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.