GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · CF MONTREAL 74% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 82 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · WED, 19 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
COLUMBUS CREW
14TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D W L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
CF MONTREAL
D D D L L
· 13TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 20' Thomas Gillier (OG)
GOALS
⚽ 5' Prince Owusu ⚽ 78' N. Streit
Prince Owusu
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Prince Owusu
CF Montreal · Captain · 79 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 18% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.30
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.16
62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
14
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
5
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 3'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rudy Camacho
    COL
  2. 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Prince Owusu · assist Gennadiy Synchuk
    CF
  3. 13'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brayan Vera
    CF
  4. 14'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rudy Camacho · assist Cesar Ruvalcaba
    COL
  5. 20'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Thomas Gillier
    COL
  6. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    André Gomes
    COL
  7. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jalen Neal
    CF
  8. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. Farsi · assist M. Herrera
    COL
  9. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    C. Adams · assist Josef Martínez
    COL
  10. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gennadiy Synchuk · assist Victor Loturi
    CF
  11. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fabian Herbers · assist Brayan Ceballos
    CF
  12. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jalen Neal · assist Brandan Craig
    CF
  13. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brayan Ceballos
    CF
  14. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    N. Streit · assist Brayan Vera
    CF
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Prince Owusu · assist Alexis Sánchez
    CF
  16. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    N. Streit · assist Daniel Rios
    CF
  17. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    D. Chambost · assist T. Karumanchi
    COL
  18. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    T. Habroune · assist D. Gazdag
    COL
  19. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matthew Longstaff
    CF
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COLUMBUS CREW AVG 7.0
CF MONTREAL AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.3
xG
1.2
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
2.0
ON TARGET
7.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
663.0
PASSES
407.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
3.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
5.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COLUMBUS CREW 3 shots
D. Chambost
1/2
Cesar Ruvalcaba
0/1
CF MONTREAL 6 shots
Prince Owusu
2/3
Noah Streit
1/2
Daniel Pereira
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.30 – 1.16
0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 20' 5' 78' H 0.30 A 1.16 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 42%
58% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
6.9
28
P. SCHULT
18
M. AMUNDS
25
S. ZAWADZ
4
RUDY CAMA
31
S. MOREIR
16
T. HABROU
 6.9
20
ANDRé GOM
 7.3
7
D. CHAMBO
23
M. FARSI
 6.9
10
BRAIS MéN
46
CHASE ADA
31
THOMAS GI
13
LUCA PETR
 7.5
4
BRAYAN VE
2
JALEN NEA
27
DAWID BUG
21
FABIAN HE
8
MATTHEW L
 7.3
7
DANIEL PE
 7.6
23
NOAH STRE
 7.6
9
PRINCE OW
18
GENNADIY
SUBSTITUTES · COLUMBUS CREW
26
L. Giaccone
M
11
B. Lennon
D
1
N. Hagen
G
8
D. Gazdag
M
50
T. Karumanch...
M
77
Josef Martín...
F
2
M. Herrera
D
12
Cesar Ruvalc...
D
14
A. Sejdić
M
COACH: Laurent Courtois
SUBSTITUTES · CF MONTREAL
6
Samuel Piett...
M
29
Olger Escoba...
F
1
Sebastian Br...
G
14
Daniel Rios
F
10
Alexis Sánch...
F
3
Brayan Cebal...
D
5
Brandan Crai...
D
22
Victor Lotur...
M
35
Owen Graham-...
F
COACH: Philippe Eullaffroy
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Badawi
—
COL MANAGER
Laurent Courtois
head coach
CF MANAGER
Philippe Eullaffroy
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
COL WINS
4
DRAWS
1
CF WINS
50%
40%
10%
17 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 May 2025
CF Montreal
1 – 1
Columbus Crew
D
05 Apr 2025
Columbus Crew
2 – 1
CF Montreal
W
15 May 2024
CF Montreal
1 – 3
Columbus Crew
W
27 Apr 2024
Columbus Crew
0 – 0
CF Montreal
D
22 Oct 2023
Columbus Crew
2 – 1
CF Montreal
W
COLUMBUS CREW LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W L
CF MONTREAL LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
COLUMBUS CREW #14
Lost · already at 20 pts
CF MONTREAL #13
Won · already at 21 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matthew Longstaff
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · T. Habroune
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · D. Chambost
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · N. Streit
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Prince Owusu
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · N. Streit
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brayan Ceballos
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jalen Neal
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fabian Herbers
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gennadiy Synchuk
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · C. Adams
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. Farsi
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jalen Neal
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · André Gomes
  • 20'
    Goal · Own Goal · Thomas Gillier
  • 14'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rudy Camacho
  • 13'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brayan Vera
  • 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Prince Owusu
  • 3'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rudy Camacho
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
COLUMBUS CREW WIN
1.72
58.1% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
4.02
24.9% implied
↑ best 4.15
CF MONTREAL WIN
4.34
23% implied
↑ best 4.60

Market favors Columbus Crew. AI projects CF MONTREAL 74% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CF MONTREAL 74% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.67 4.10 4.45 +51.5%
888Sport 1.70 4.00 4.00 +49.0%
Bet365 1.73 4.00 4.50 +51.8%
Betano 1.78 4.10 4.50 +51.8%
Betfair 1.73 4.00 4.33 +50.9%
BetVictor 1.70 4.00 4.33 +50.9%
Dafabet 1.75 4.10 4.50 +51.8%
Marathonbet 1.70 4.05 4.25 +50.5%
Pinnacle 1.75 4.15 4.48 +51.7%
SBO 1.74 3.78 4.05 +49.3%
Superbet 1.74 4.00 4.40 +51.3%
Unibet 1.66 4.00 4.60 +52.3%
William Hill 1.70 4.00 4.00 +49.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.89
2.5 O 1.56 U 2.37
3.5 O 2.39 U 1.55
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.57 10 bks
NO
2.29 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.49
Away -0.5 2.12
Away -0.75 1.89
Away -1 1.65
Away -1.25 1.50
Away -1.5 1.40
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.