GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · LOS ANGELES FC 40% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · THU, 20 AUG · 01:30 LOCAL
COLORADO RAPIDS
7TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W L W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
LOS ANGELES FC
D L D W W
· 3RD · 35 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 22' Jeremy Ebobisse (OG) ⚽ 42' Rafael Navarro (P)
GOALS
Cabral Carter
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Cabral Carter
Los Angeles FC · 91 mins
· 19% pass acc
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
DEFENSIVE SHOWDOWN ⚔️ LAFC vs. Colorado Rapids | MLS Highlights | ESPN FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.39
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.42
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
9
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 20'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yevhen Cheberko
    LOS
  2. 22'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Jeremy Ebobisse
    COL
  3. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Y. Maziz
    COL
  4. 39'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Eddie Segura
    LOS
  5. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nkosi Tafari
    LOS
  6. 42'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Rafael Navarro · assist Rafael Navarro
    COL
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nkosi Tafari · assist Aaron Long
    LOS
  8. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Y. Maziz · assist G. Minoungou
    COL
  9. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    D. Yapi
    COL
  10. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    D. Yapi · assist Dante Sealy
    COL
  11. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    T. Tillman · assist Son Heung-min
    LOS
  12. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    J. Shaffelburg · assist Denis Bouanga
    LOS
  13. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ryan Hollingshead · assist Mark Delgado
    LOS
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tyler Boyd · assist Tommy Mihalic
    LOS
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    H. Ojediran · assist K. Thompson
    COL
  16. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    M. Navarro · assist N. Cobb
    COL
  17. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Ryan Porteous · assist Ryan Raposo
    LOS
  18. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    K. Thompson
    COL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COLORADO RAPIDS AVG 7.3
LOS ANGELES FC AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.4
xG
0.4
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
1.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
466.0
PASSES
440.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
10.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COLORADO RAPIDS 2 shots
P. Aaronson
0/2
LOS ANGELES FC 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.39 – 0.42
1.9 1.4 1 0.5 2.4 0.0 HT 22' 42' H 2.39 A 0.42 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
7.0
41
NICHOLAS
29
M. NAVARR
 7.3
5
LOïC WILL
 7.3
6
R. HOLDIN
4
R. CANNON
 7.5
8
H. OJEDIR
13
W. FREDER
77
D. YAPI
88
Y. MAZIZ
 7.2
10
P. AARONS
9
RAFAEL NA
 7.6
31
CABRAL CA
23
YEVHEN CH
91
NKOSI TAF
 6.9
5
RYAN PORT
24
RYAN HOLL
4
EDDIE SEG
18
J. SHAFFE
11
T. TILLMA
 6.9
66
MATHIEU C
19
TYLER BOY
17
JEREMY EB
SUBSTITUTES · COLORADO RAPIDS
32
D. Phillip
F
93
G. Minoungou
F
7
Dante Sealy
F
24
N. Cobb
D
2
K. Rosenberr...
D
33
K. Thompson
D
31
A. Beaudry
G
16
A. Harris
F
COACH: Matt Wells
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES FC
90
Tommy Mihali...
F
99
Denis Bouang...
F
8
Mark Delgado
M
21
Ryan Raposo
M
22
Jude Terry
M
33
Aaron Long
D
45
Kenny Nielse...
D
1
Hugo Lloris
G
7
Son Heung-mi...
F
COACH: Marc Dos Santos
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joseph Dickerson, USA
—
COL MANAGER
Matt Wells
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Marc Dos Santos
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
COL WINS
3
DRAWS
5
LOS WINS
20%
30%
50%
7 – 20
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 Apr 2026
Los Angeles FC
0 – 0
Colorado Rapids
D
19 Oct 2025
Colorado Rapids
2 – 2
Los Angeles FC
D
10 Jul 2025
Los Angeles FC
3 – 0
Colorado Rapids
L
30 Jun 2024
Los Angeles FC
3 – 0
Colorado Rapids
L
30 Mar 2024
Colorado Rapids
3 – 2
Los Angeles FC
W
COLORADO RAPIDS LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L W
LOS ANGELES FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
COLORADO RAPIDS #7
Won · already at 28 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LOS ANGELES FC #3
Lost · already at 35 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · K. Thompson
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Ryan Porteous
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · M. Navarro
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · H. Ojediran
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tyler Boyd
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ryan Hollingshead
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · J. Shaffelburg
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · T. Tillman
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · D. Yapi
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · D. Yapi
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Y. Maziz
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nkosi Tafari
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 42'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Rafael Navarro
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nkosi Tafari
  • 39'
    Card · Yellow Card · Eddie Segura
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Y. Maziz
  • 22'
    Goal · Own Goal · Jeremy Ebobisse
  • 20'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yevhen Cheberko
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
COLORADO RAPIDS WIN
2.44
41% implied
↑ best 2.75
DRAW
3.54
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.70
LOS ANGELES FC WIN
2.69
37.2% implied
↑ best 2.80

Market favors Colorado Rapids. AI projects LOS ANGELES FC 40% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LOS ANGELES FC 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.32 3.60 2.78 +4.0%
888Sport 2.40 3.40 2.63 +2.0%
Bet365 2.40 3.60 2.80 +4.3%
Betano 2.47 3.55 2.75 +3.6%
Betfair 2.40 3.60 2.70 +3.0%
BetVictor 2.38 3.60 2.70 +3.0%
Dafabet 2.75 3.70 2.47 +1.0%
Marathonbet 2.40 3.52 2.69 +2.8%
Pinnacle 2.48 3.69 2.79 +4.2%
SBO 2.39 3.38 2.65 +2.3%
Superbet 2.50 3.55 2.72 +3.2%
Unibet 2.40 3.45 2.70 +3.0%
William Hill 2.40 3.40 2.62 +1.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.32
2.5 O 1.68 U 2.15
3.5 O 2.69 U 1.44
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.55 10 bks
NO
2.31 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.73
Away -0.5 1.56
Away -0.75 1.40
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.19
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.