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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CHICAGO FIRE 38%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SUN, 26 APR · 00:30 LOCAL
CHICAGO FIRE
3RD · 17 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W L D
FT
5 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
L L L W D
· 15TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 51' H. Cuypers (P) ⚽ 51' P. Zinckernagel ⚽ 65' P. Zinckernagel ⚽ 73' H. Cuypers ⚽ 79' M. Haile-Selassie ⚽ 90+8' H. Cuypers
GOALS
P. Zinckernagel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
P. Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire · 76 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 29% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 6 CLIPS

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Major League Soccer: Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.72
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.36
71%
BALL POSSESSION %
29%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
6
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Gutman
    CHI
  2. 51'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    H. Cuypers · assist H. Cuypers
    CHI
  3. 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    P. Zinckernagel
    CHI
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    P. Dithejane · assist R. Lod
    CHI
  5. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    P. Zinckernagel
    CHI
  6. 73'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    H. Cuypers
    CHI
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    I. James · assist Wyatt Meyer
    SPO
  8. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    C. Harris · assist S. Afrifa
    SPO
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Salétros · assist S. Oregel
    CHI
  10. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    P. Zinckernagel · assist Jason Shokalook
    CHI
  11. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    A. Gutman · assist V. Radojević
    CHI
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    T. D'Avilla · assist M. Pineda
    CHI
  14. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Capita · assist J. Bartlett
    SPO
  15. 90'+8
    Goal · Normal Goal
    H. Cuypers
    CHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 8.4
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 6.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.7
xG
0.4
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
6.0
ON TARGET
1.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
7.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
71.0%
POSSESSION %
29.0%
705.0
PASSES
289.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
16.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHICAGO FIRE 6 shots
P. Zinckernagel
2/3
J. Elliott
0/2
M. Haile-Selassie
1/1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 4 shots
Capita
0/2
C. Harris
0/1
Manu García
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.72 – 0.36
2.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.7 0.0 HT 51' 51' 65' 73' 79' 90' H 2.72 A 0.36 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 80%
20% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
3
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
4-2-3-1
3-4-3
1
C. BRADY
15
A. GUTMAN
 7.9
3
J. ELLIOT
 7.6
16
J. WATERM
24
J. DEAN
 7.7
6
A. SALéTR
42
T. D&APOS
12
P. DITHEJ
 8.7
7
M. HAILE-
 10.0
11
P. ZINCKE
9
H. CUYPER
1
J. PULSKA
15
JANSEN MI
23
E. BARTLO
2
I. JAMES
 6.7
20
K. AGYABE
 6.3
6
MANU GARC
4
L. JOHNSE
8
J. DAVIS
 7.0
7
CAPITA
 6.5
9
D. JOVELJ
 6.7
11
C. HARRIS
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
27
Dylan Borso
F
4
M. Mbokazi
D
44
J. Cohen
G
22
M. Pineda
D
14
V. Radojević
D
20
Jason Shokal...
F
35
S. Oregel
M
17
R. Lod
M
29
D. Poręba
M
COACH: Mario Barcena
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
93
M. Suleymano...
F
14
M. Tschantre...
M
99
J. Reid
D
12
J. Kortkamp
G
30
S. Cleveland
G
16
J. Bartlett
D
17
S. Afrifa
F
28
Wyatt Meyer
D
19
T. Calheira
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
B. Stevis
—
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
CHI WINS
1
DRAWS
5
SPO WINS
40%
10%
50%
13 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
25 Jun 2023
Sporting Kansas City
0 – 1
Chicago Fire
W
19 Mar 2022
Chicago Fire
3 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
W
12 Sep 2021
Sporting Kansas City
2 – 0
Chicago Fire
L
17 Oct 2020
Chicago Fire
2 – 2
Sporting Kansas City
D
08 Oct 2020
Sporting Kansas City
1 – 0
Chicago Fire
L
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L D
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 5–0 · result locked
CHICAGO FIRE #3
Won · already at 17 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Lost · already at 4 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 San Jose Earthquakes 10 9 0 1 +19 27
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 9 7 1 1 +15 22
W W W L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 9 8 0 1 +20 24
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 10 5 4 1 +4 19
D W W D D
3 Los Angeles FC 10 6 2 2 +11 20
W D L L W
3 Chicago Fire 9 5 2 2 +9 17
W D W W W
4 New England Revolution 9 5 1 3 +5 16
D W W W W
4 Seattle Sounders 8 6 1 1 +8 19
W W W D W
5 Minnesota United FC 10 5 2 3 -3 17
L W W W W
5 Charlotte 10 4 2 4 0 14
L L W L W
6 Real Salt Lake 9 5 1 3 +3 16
L L W W D
6 Toronto FC 10 3 4 3 -2 13
L D D D W
7 Colorado Rapids 10 4 1 5 +4 13
L D L W L
7 New York City FC 10 3 3 4 +3 12
L D L L D
8 Columbus Crew 10 3 3 4 +1 12
W W L D W
8 FC Dallas 10 3 4 3 +3 13
L L D D W
9 Houston Dynamo 9 4 0 5 -6 12
L W W L L
9 FC Cincinnati 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D D L
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 10 3 3 4 -1 12
W L D W L
10 DC United 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D L L
11 San Diego 10 3 2 5 0 11
L L L L L
11 New York Red Bulls 10 3 3 4 -9 12
L D L D W
12 CF Montreal 9 3 0 6 -7 9
W W L L L
12 Portland Timbers 9 3 1 5 -6 10
W L W L D
13 Austin 10 2 4 4 -5 10
W L D L D
13 Atlanta United FC 10 2 1 7 -8 7
W L L L L
14 St. Louis City 9 1 3 5 -7 6
L L D D W
14 Orlando City SC 10 2 1 7 -17 7
L W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 9 1 1 7 -18 4
L L L L L
15 Philadelphia Union 10 1 2 7 -8 5
L D D W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Goal · Normal Goal · H. Cuypers
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Capita
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · T. D'Avilla
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · A. Gutman
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Haile-Selassie
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · P. Zinckernagel
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Salétros
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · C. Harris
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · I. James
  • 73'
    Goal · Normal Goal · H. Cuypers
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · P. Zinckernagel
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · P. Dithejane
  • 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal · P. Zinckernagel
  • 51'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · H. Cuypers
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Gutman
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
1.28
78.1% implied
↑ best 1.36
DRAW
5.94
16.8% implied
↑ best 6.40
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
8.99
11.1% implied
↑ best 10.00

Market favors Chicago Fire. AI projects CHICAGO FIRE 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHICAGO FIRE 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.27 5.90 8.90 +18.8%
888Sport 1.36 5.00 6.50 +14.6%
Bet365 1.28 5.50 10.00 +20.0%
Betano 1.30 6.40 10.00 +20.0%
Betfair 1.25 6.00 9.50 +19.5%
BetVictor 1.25 6.00 9.50 +19.5%
Dafabet 1.29 6.40 9.20 +19.1%
Marathonbet 1.26 6.05 8.80 +18.6%
Pinnacle 1.28 6.31 9.72 +19.7%
SBO 1.26 5.90 8.30 +18.0%
Unibet 1.27 6.00 9.00 +18.9%
William Hill 1.25 5.80 8.50 +18.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 7.13
2.5 O 1.32 U 3.27
3.5 O 1.84 U 1.93
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.60 9 bks
NO
2.22 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.33
Away -0.5 3.36
Away -0.75 3.22
Away -1 3.00
Away -1.25 2.42
Away -1.5 2.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.