AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CHICAGO FIRE 38%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SUN, 26 APR · 00:30 LOCAL
CHICAGO FIRE
3RD · 36 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W W L
FT
5 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
L D L L L
· 15TH · 15 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 51' H. Cuypers (P) ⚽ 51' Philip Zinckernagel ⚽ 65' Philip Zinckernagel ⚽ 73' H. Cuypers ⚽ 79' Maren Haile-Selassie ⚽ 90+8' H. Cuypers
GOALS
Philip Zinckernagel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Philip Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire · 76 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 29% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.72
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.36
71%
BALL POSSESSION %
29%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
6
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Andrew Gutman
    CHI
  2. 51'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    H. Cuypers · assist H. Cuypers
    CHI
  3. 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    P. Dithejane · assist R. Lod
    CHI
  5. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  6. 73'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    H. Cuypers
    CHI
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ian James · assist Wyatt Meyer
    SPO
  8. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Calvin Harris · assist Stephen Afrifa
    SPO
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Saletros · assist Sergio Oregel
    CHI
  10. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Philip Zinckernagel · assist Jason Shokalook
    CHI
  11. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Andrew Gutman · assist V. Radojevic
    CHI
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Dje Tah D'Avilla · assist Mauricio Pineda
    CHI
  14. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Capita · assist Jacob Bartlett
    SPO
  15. 90'+8
    Goal · Normal Goal
    H. Cuypers
    CHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 8.4
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 6.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.7
xG
0.4
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
6.0
ON TARGET
1.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
7.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
71.0%
POSSESSION %
29.0%
705.0
PASSES
289.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
16.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHICAGO FIRE 6 shots
Philip Zinckernagel
2/3
Jack Elliott
0/2
Maren Haile-Selassie
1/1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 4 shots
Capita
0/2
Calvin Harris
0/1
Manu García
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.720.36
2.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.7 0.0 HT 51' 51' 65' 73' 79' 90' H 2.72 A 0.36 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 80%
20% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
3
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
27
Dylan Borso
F
4
M. Mbokazi
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
22
Mauricio Pin...
D
14
V. Radojevic
D
20
Jason Shokal...
F
35
Sergio Orege...
M
17
R. Lod
M
29
David Poreba
M
COACH: Mario Barcena
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
93
Shapi Suleym...
F
14
Macielo Tsch...
M
99
Jayden Reid
D
12
J. Kortkamp
G
30
Stefan Cleve...
G
16
Jacob Bartle...
D
17
Stephen Afri...
F
28
Wyatt Meyer
D
19
Taylor Calhe...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
B. Stevis
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
CHI WINS
1
DRAWS
5
SPO WINS
40%
10%
50%
13 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W L
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 5–0 · result locked
CHICAGO FIRE #3
Won · already at 36 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Lost · already at 15 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Goal · Normal Goal · H. Cuypers
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Capita
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Dje Tah D'Avilla
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Andrew Gutman
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maren Haile-Selassie
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Philip Zinckernagel
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Saletros
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Calvin Harris
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ian James
  • 73'
    Goal · Normal Goal · H. Cuypers
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Philip Zinckernagel
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · P. Dithejane
  • 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Philip Zinckernagel
  • 51'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · H. Cuypers
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · Andrew Gutman
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
1.28
78.1% implied
↑ best 1.36
DRAW
5.94
16.8% implied
↑ best 6.40
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
8.99
11.1% implied
↑ best 10.00

Market favors Chicago Fire. AI projects CHICAGO FIRE 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHICAGO FIRE 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.27 5.90 8.90 +18.8%
888Sport 1.36 5.00 6.50 +14.6%
Bet365 1.28 5.50 10.00 +20.0%
Betano 1.30 6.40 10.00 +20.0%
Betfair 1.25 6.00 9.50 +19.5%
BetVictor 1.25 6.00 9.50 +19.5%
Dafabet 1.29 6.40 9.20 +19.1%
Marathonbet 1.26 6.05 8.80 +18.6%
Pinnacle 1.28 6.31 9.72 +19.7%
SBO 1.26 5.90 8.30 +18.0%
Unibet 1.27 6.00 9.00 +18.9%
William Hill 1.25 5.80 8.50 +18.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 7.13
2.5 O 1.32 U 3.27
3.5 O 1.84 U 1.93
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.60 9 bks
NO
2.22 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.33
Away -0.5 3.36
Away -0.75 3.22
Away -1 3.00
Away -1.25 2.42
Away -1.5 2.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.