GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CHARLOTTE 44%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:15 LOCAL
CHARLOTTE
5TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W L W
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
NEW YORK CITY FC
D L L D W
· 7TH · 27 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 8' N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
N. Fernández Mercau
New York City FC · 81 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 28% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Charlotte vs New York City FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.51
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.55
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
5
TOTAL SHOTS
3
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
89%
8
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    N. Fernández Mercau · assist H. Wolf
    NEW
  2. 29'
    Card · Yellow Card
    N. Fernández Mercau
    NEW
  3. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Ojeda
    NEW
  4. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    D. Diani
    CHA
  5. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pep Biel
    CHA
  6. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    H. Wolf
    NEW
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    A. Ojeda · assist M. Jones
    NEW
  8. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Wilfried Zaha
    CHA
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Idan Toklomati Jorno · assist Archie Goodwin
    CHA
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kerwin Calderón Vargas · assist R. Aloko
    CHA
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    N. Fernández Mercau · assist A. Perea
    NEW
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Keaton Parks · assist Arnau Farnos
    NEW
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Maxi Moralez · assist Seymour Garfield-Reid
    NEW
  14. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Jones
    NEW
  15. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Archie Goodwin
    CHA
  16. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pep Biel · assist Tyger Smalls
    CHA
  17. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Raul Gustavo
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHARLOTTE AVG 7.0
NEW YORK CITY FC AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
0.6
5.0
TOTAL SHOTS
3.0
2.0
ON TARGET
1.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
404.0
PASSES
486.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
89.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
18.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHARLOTTE 2 shots
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
1/2
NEW YORK CITY FC 1 shots
N. Fernández Mercau
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.51 – 0.55
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.0 HT 8' H 0.51 A 0.55 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
K. KAHLIN
23
D. SCHNEG
 6.7
3
T. REAM
 7.0
44
MORRISON
 6.9
14
N. BYRNE
17
L. DE LA
28
D. DIANI
 7.2
10
WILFRIED
16
PEP BIEL
 7.0
18
KERWIN CA
9
IDAN TOKL
49
M. FREESE
2
NICO CAVA
 7.5
34
RAUL GUST
 7.0
13
THIAGO MA
24
T. GRAY
5
KAI TREWI
 6.9
55
KEATON PA
17
H. WOLF
 6.9
10
MAXI MORA
26
A. OJEDA
 7.6
7
N. FERNáN
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLOTTE
25
Tyger Smalls
F
37
R. Aloko
F
48
Aron John
M
11
Liel Abada
F
13
B. Bronico
M
4
A. Privett
D
35
Will Cleary
D
21
T. Miller
G
7
Archie Goodw...
F
COACH: Dean Smith
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK CITY FC
99
Seymour Garf...
F
87
Arnau Farno...
F
29
Máximo Carri...
M
8
A. Perea
M
32
J. Shore
M
15
Kevin Pierre
M
19
Strahinja Ta...
D
30
T. Romero
G
88
M. Jones
F
COACH: Pascal Jansen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Freemon
—
CHA MANAGER
Dean Smith
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Pascal Jansen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CHA WINS
2
DRAWS
5
NEW WINS
30%
20%
50%
8 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Apr 2026
New York City FC
1 – 2
Charlotte
W
08 Nov 2025
Charlotte
1 – 3
New York City FC
L
01 Nov 2025
New York City FC
0 – 0
Charlotte
D
28 Oct 2025
Charlotte
0 – 1
New York City FC
L
20 Sep 2025
New York City FC
2 – 0
Charlotte
L
CHARLOTTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L W
NEW YORK CITY FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
CHARLOTTE #5
Lost · already at 32 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
NEW YORK CITY FC #7
Won · already at 27 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Raul Gustavo
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pep Biel
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Archie Goodwin
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Jones
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Maxi Moralez
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Keaton Parks
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · N. Fernández Mercau
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kerwin Calderón Vargas
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Idan Toklomati Jorno
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Wilfried Zaha
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · A. Ojeda
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · H. Wolf
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pep Biel
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · D. Diani
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Ojeda
  • 29'
    Card · Yellow Card · N. Fernández Mercau
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · N. Fernández Mercau
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CHARLOTTE WIN
2.33
42.9% implied
↑ best 2.45
DRAW
3.44
29.1% implied
↑ best 3.60
NEW YORK CITY FC WIN
2.88
34.7% implied
↑ best 3.00

Market favors Charlotte. AI projects CHARLOTTE 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHARLOTTE 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.28 3.50 2.88 +0.1%
888Sport 2.15 3.30 3.00 -2.3%
Bet365 2.35 3.60 2.88 +1.4%
Betano 2.45 3.40 2.85 +3.2%
Betfair 2.30 3.40 2.88 +0.5%
BetVictor 2.30 3.50 2.88 +0.5%
Dafabet 2.38 3.60 2.95 +2.0%
Marathonbet 2.38 3.42 2.79 +2.0%
Pinnacle 2.40 3.58 2.97 +2.3%
SBO 2.41 3.28 2.71 +2.5%
Unibet 2.28 3.45 2.95 +0.1%
William Hill 2.30 3.30 2.80 +0.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.99
2.5 O 1.77 U 2.04
3.5 O 2.88 U 1.39
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.60 9 bks
NO
2.22 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.77
Away -0.5 1.59
Away -0.75 1.42
Away -1 1.26
Away -1.25 1.22
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.