GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CHARLOTTE 48% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SAT, 09 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
CHARLOTTE
5TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W L W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
FC CINCINNATI
D W D W L
· 6TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 51' Idan Toklomati ⚽ 52' Pep Biel
GOALS
⚽ 36' Kévin Denkey ⚽ 43' Evander
Evander
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Evander
FC Cincinnati · Captain · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 42% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

74%
BALL POSSESSION %
115%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
13
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
453%
PASS ACCURACY %
520%
7
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 26'
    Card · Foul
    Gerardo Valenzuela
    FC
  2. 36'
    Goal · 0-1
    Kévin Denkey
    FC
  3. 43'
    Goal · 0-2
    Evander · assist Pavel Bucha
    FC
  4. 51'
    Goal · 1-2
    Idan Toklomati
    CHA
  5. 52'
    Goal · 2-2
    Pep Biel · assist Djibril Diani
    CHA
  6. 54'
    Card · Time wasting
    CHA
  7. 56'
    Subst
    FC
  8. 62'
    Card · Foul
    Samuel Gidi
    FC
  9. 73'
    Subst
    Obinna Nwobodo · assist Samuel Gidi
    FC
  10. 73'
    Subst
    Ender Echenique · assist Gerardo Valenzuela
    FC
  11. 77'
    Subst
    Liel Abada · assist Kerwin Vargas
    CHA
  12. 77'
    Card · Foul
    Evander
    FC
  13. 82'
    Subst
    Archie Goodwin · assist Idan Toklomati
    CHA
  14. 87'
    Subst
    Tom Barlow · assist Kenji Mboma Dem
    FC
  15. 87'
    Subst
    Ayoub Lajhar · assist Bryan Ramírez
    FC
  16. 90'
    Card · Foul
    Obinna Nwobodo
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHARLOTTE AVG 7.3
FC CINCINNATI AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
4.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
74.0%
POSSESSION %
115.0%
503.0
PASSES
574.0
453.0%
PASS ACCURACY
520.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
4.0
13.0
OFFSIDES
11.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
15.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHARLOTTE 7 shots
Pep Biel
1/3
Idan Toklomati Jorno
2/3
A. Westwood
0/1
FC CINCINNATI 4 shots
Evander
3/3
K. Denkey
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 31%
69% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-1-4-2
4-2-3-1
3-1-4-2
6.9
1
K. KAHLIN
23
D. SCHNEG
3
T. REAM
44
MORRISON
14
N. BYRNE
 7.7
28
D. DIANI
 7.3
8
A. WESTWO
10
WILFRIED
 7.6
16
PEP BIEL
18
KERWIN CA
 7.2
9
IDAN TOKL
18
R. CELENT
88
A. CHIRIL
21
MATT MIAZ
 7.3
4
N. HAGGLU
11
S. GIDI
29
BRYAN JOS
 8.3
10
EVANDER
22
G. VALENZ
 6.6
20
PAVEL BUC
17
K. MBOMA
 6.6
9
K. DENKEY
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLOTTE
37
R. Aloko
F
25
Tyger Smalls
F
11
Liel Abada
F
48
Aron John
M
17
L. de la Tor...
M
13
B. Bronico
M
4
A. Privett
D
21
T. Miller
G
7
Archie Goodw...
F
COACH: Dean Smith
SUBSTITUTES · FC CINCINNATI
37
Stiven Jimen...
M
66
E. Echenique
F
5
O. Nwobodo
M
27
B. Anunga
M
12
M. Robinson
D
55
Ayoub Lajhar
D
3
Gilberto Flo...
D
13
E. Louro
G
16
Tom Barlow
F
COACH: Pat Noonan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
I. Elfath
—
CHA MANAGER
Dean Smith
head coach
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
CHA WINS
2
DRAWS
2
FC WINS
50%
25%
25%
11 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
10 Aug 2025
FC Cincinnati
0 – 1
Charlotte
W
15 Mar 2025
Charlotte
2 – 0
FC Cincinnati
W
13 Jul 2024
FC Cincinnati
1 – 3
Charlotte
W
30 Mar 2024
Charlotte
1 – 1
FC Cincinnati
D
23 Sep 2023
FC Cincinnati
3 – 0
Charlotte
L
CHARLOTTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L W
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
CHARLOTTE #5
Lost · already at 32 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
FC CINCINNATI #6
Lost · already at 31 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Card · Foul · Obinna Nwobodo
    5th Yellowcard
  • 87'
    Subst · Ayoub Lajhar
    7th Substitution
  • 87'
    Subst · Tom Barlow
    6th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Archie Goodwin
    5th Substitution
  • 77'
    Card · Foul · Evander
    4th Yellowcard
  • 77'
    Subst · Liel Abada
    4th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Ender Echenique
    2nd Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Obinna Nwobodo
    3rd Substitution
  • 62'
    Card · Foul · Samuel Gidi
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 56'
    Subst
    1st Substitution
  • 54'
    Card · Time wasting
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 52'
    Goal · 2-2 · Pep Biel
    4th Goal
  • 51'
    Goal · 1-2 · Idan Toklomati
    3rd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 43'
    Goal · 0-2 · Evander
    2nd Goal
  • 36'
    Goal · 0-1 · Kévin Denkey
    1st Goal
  • 26'
    Card · Foul · Gerardo Valenzuela
    1st Yellowcard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CHARLOTTE WIN
2.14
46.7% implied
↑ best 2.21
DRAW
3.72
26.9% implied
↑ best 3.85
FC CINCINNATI WIN
3.00
33.3% implied
↑ best 3.11

Market favors Charlotte. AI projects CHARLOTTE 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHARLOTTE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 3.80 2.98 +0.8%
888Sport 2.10 3.50 2.90 +0.4%
Bet365 2.15 3.60 3.10 +1.5%
Betano 2.20 3.75 3.05 +2.5%
Betfair 2.10 3.75 3.00 +0.4%
BetVictor 2.15 3.80 2.90 +1.5%
Dafabet 2.18 3.85 3.10 +2.1%
Marathonbet 2.09 3.78 3.04 +0.2%
Pinnacle 2.21 3.85 3.11 +2.8%
SBO 2.15 3.65 2.85 +1.5%
Unibet 2.10 3.80 3.10 +0.4%
William Hill 2.10 3.50 2.90 +0.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.14 U 5.36
2.5 O 1.49 U 2.52
3.5 O 2.24 U 1.63
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.44 9 bks
NO
2.60 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.90
Away -0.5 1.70
Away -0.75 1.52
Away -1 1.35
Away -1.25 1.31
Away -1.5 1.25
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.