GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · CF MONTREAL 48% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
CF MONTREAL
11TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W L W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
PORTLAND TIMBERS
L L W L W
· 13TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 11' Daniel Rios ⚽ 45' Wikelman Carmona
GOALS
⚽ 21' Kevin Kelsy ⚽ 77' Cole Bassett
Wikelman Carmona
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Wikelman Carmona
CF Montreal · 69 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 23% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.83
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.99
43%
BALL POSSESSION %
57%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
14
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
5
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 9'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    José Caicedo · assist Diego Chará
    POR
  2. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Rios · assist Matthew Longstaff
    CF
  3. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kevin Kelsy · assist Kristoffer Velde
    POR
  4. 35'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Olger Escobar · assist Samuel Piette
    CF
  5. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Wikelman Carmona · assist Matthew Longstaff
    CF
  6. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexander Aravena · assist Antony Alves
    POR
  7. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jímer Fory · assist Ian Smith
    POR
  8. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jalen Neal
    CF
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Daniel Rios · assist Prince Owusu
    CF
  10. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Wikelman Carmona · assist Iván Jaime
    CF
  11. 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Cole Bassett
    POR
  12. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Prince Owusu
    CF
  13. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matthew Longstaff
    CF
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kevin Kelsy · assist Felipe Mora
    POR
  15. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cole Bassett
    POR
  16. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    N. Streit · assist Kwadwo Opoku
    CF
  17. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Dagur Dan Þórhallsson · assist Dawid Bugaj
    CF
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CF MONTREAL AVG 8.0
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
2.0
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
7.0
ON TARGET
3.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
8.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
43.0%
POSSESSION %
57.0%
426.0
PASSES
568.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
7.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
6.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CF MONTREAL 6 shots
Wikelman Carmona
1/2
Daniel Rios
2/2
Matthew Longstaff
0/1
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
1/1
PORTLAND TIMBERS 3 shots
Cole Bassett
1/2
Kristoffer Velde
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.83 – 1.99
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 11' 45' 21' 77' H 1.83 A 1.99 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 59%
41% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
31
THOMAS GI
13
LUCA PETR
4
BRAYAN VE
2
JALEN NEA
 7.3
17
DAGUR DAN
 8.2
8
MATTHEW L
 7.7
22
VICTOR LO
29
OLGER ESC
23
NOAH STRE
 7.7
14
DANIEL RI
 9.2
16
WIKELMAN
 7.2
41
JAMES PAN
27
JíMER FOR
4
KAMAL MIL
 7.6
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
30
JOSé CAIC
 7.9
17
COLE BASS
28
ALEXANDER
10
DAVID PER
 7.6
99
KRISTOFFE
19
KEVIN KEL
SUBSTITUTES · CF MONTREAL
25
Frankie Amay...
M
5
Brandan Crai...
D
24
Efraín Moral...
D
27
Dawid Bugaj
D
1
Sebastian Br...
G
9
Prince Owusu
F
10
Iván Jaime
M
6
Samuel Piett...
M
7
Kwadwo Opoku
F
COACH: Philippe Eullaffroy
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
80
Joao Ortíz
M
29
Juan Mosquer...
D
6
Alex Bonetig
D
25
Trey Muse
G
9
Felipe Mora
F
11
Antony Alves
F
23
Ian Smith
D
21
Diego Chará
M
7
Ariel Lassit...
F
COACH: Phil Neville
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Chapman
—
CF MANAGER
Philippe Eullaffroy
head coach
POR MANAGER
Phil Neville
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
CF WINS
2
DRAWS
2
POR WINS
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
20 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
3.56
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 9
07 Oct 2023
CF Montreal
4 – 1
Portland Timbers
W
26 Jun 2019
CF Montreal
2 – 1
Portland Timbers
W
22 Jul 2018
Portland Timbers
2 – 2
CF Montreal
D
20 May 2017
CF Montreal
4 – 1
Portland Timbers
W
14 Jul 2016
Portland Timbers
1 – 1
CF Montreal
D
CF MONTREAL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L W
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
CF MONTREAL #11
Lost · already at 14 pts
PORTLAND TIMBERS #13
Lost · already at 14 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · N. Streit
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Cole Bassett
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kevin Kelsy
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matthew Longstaff
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Prince Owusu
  • 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Cole Bassett
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Wikelman Carmona
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Daniel Rios
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jalen Neal
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jímer Fory
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexander Aravena
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Wikelman Carmona
  • 35'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Olger Escobar
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kevin Kelsy
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Rios
  • 9'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · José Caicedo
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CF MONTREAL WIN
1.97
50.8% implied
↑ best 2.03
DRAW
3.76
26.6% implied
↑ best 4.00
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
3.42
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.60

Market favors CF Montreal. AI projects CF MONTREAL 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CF MONTREAL 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.02 3.85 3.20 +12.0%
888Sport 1.95 3.50 3.30 +9.4%
Bet365 1.95 4.00 3.50 +13.0%
Betano 2.02 3.75 3.45 +11.3%
Betfair 1.95 3.70 3.60 +11.0%
BetVictor 1.95 3.80 3.40 +11.7%
Dafabet 2.03 3.90 3.45 +12.4%
Marathonbet 1.95 3.70 3.46 +11.0%
Pinnacle 2.00 3.90 3.60 +12.4%
SBO 1.96 3.61 3.32 +10.3%
Unibet 1.94 3.85 3.50 +12.0%
William Hill 1.95 3.60 3.30 +10.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.09
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.41
3.5 O 2.31 U 1.58
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.48 9 bks
NO
2.52 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.11
Away -0.5 1.84
Away -0.75 1.64
Away -1 1.43
Away -1.25 1.35
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.