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Coppa Italia · ROUND OF 64 · FRI, 14 AUG · 16:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
CAGLIARI
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME
AREZZO
⚽ 23' Alessandro Deiola
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CAG
1 – 0
ARE
most likely scoreline · 17.5% probability
AI PICKS CAGLIARI TO WIN 58%
FT 1 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
CAG WIN 58%
DRAW 26%
ARE WIN 16%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 84% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 84% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early in first half with no clear pressure yet; Cagliari slight home favourite but wide-open match.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY CAGLIARI FAVORED
58%
Early in first half with no clear pressure yet; Cagliari slight home favourite but wide-open match.
+30.0%
Cagliari home form WLWWL (mixed) vs bookmaker 61.7% home-win implied — slight disagreement suggests booking contains some away value
+20.0%
WHY AREZZO CHALLENGED
16%
Arezzo on-road form unknown; recent form limited to single win — insufficient sample
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Only 2 minutes elapsed — scoreline and momentum data extremely limited
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 23' ALESSANDRO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 17.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
10.9
4.0
1.0
0.2
·
·
1
17.5
12.8
4.7
1.1
0.2
·
·
2
10.2
7.5
2.7
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
4.0
2.9
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 17.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 12.8%
0 — 1 10.9%
2 — 0 10.2%
Top 5 = 66.4% · rest 33.6%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.04
26.0%
3.85
+5.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.41
42.0%
2.38
+1.4%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.86
52.0%
1.92
-3.5%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.87
16.0%
6.25
-6.1%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.11
84.0%
1.19
-6.9%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.93
46.0%
2.17
-11.0%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.53
58.0%
1.72
-11.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
74.0%
1.35
-11.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.