GOALSENSE
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Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · WED, 22 APR · 19:00 LOCAL
BURNLEY
19TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L D L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
MANCHESTER CITY
W W L D L
· 2ND · 70 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 5' E. Haaland
M. Dúbravka
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
M. Dúbravka
Burnley · 90 mins
· 28% pass acc
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

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Premier League: Burnley vs Manchester City
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Premier League: Burnley vs Manchester City
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.63
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
3.36
35%
BALL POSSESSION %
65%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
28
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
3
CORNERS
11
KEY EVENTS 8 events
  1. 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    E. Haaland · assist J. Doku
    MAN
  2. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. Aït-Nouri · assist Nico González
    MAN
  3. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Semenyo · assist Sávio
    MAN
  4. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    L. Tchaouna · assist L. Foster
    BUR
  5. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Z. Flemming · assist A. Broja
    BUR
  6. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    B. Humphreys · assist Florentino
    BUR
  7. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    J. Anthony · assist M. Trésor
    BUR
  8. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    J. Laurent · assist M. Edwards
    BUR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BURNLEY AVG 7.6
MANCHESTER CITY AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
3.4
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
28.0
1.0
ON TARGET
9.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
4.0
BLOCKED
10.0
POSSESSION
35.0%
POSSESSION %
65.0%
356.0
PASSES
689.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
11.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
8.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BURNLEY 1 shots
Q. Hartman
0/1
MANCHESTER CITY 8 shots
E. Haaland
2/4
R. Cherki
2/4
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.63 – 3.36
2.7 2 1.3 0.7 3.4 0.0 HT 5' H 0.63 A 3.36 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 63%
37% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
3
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
5-4-1
4-2-3-1
9.3
1
M. DúBRAV
 7.2
3
Q. HARTMA
 7.2
5
M. ESTèVE
18
H. EKDAL
12
B. HUMPHR
 6.9
2
K. WALKER
11
J. ANTHON
29
J. LAUREN
 7.3
20
J. WARD-P
17
L. TCHAOU
19
Z. FLEMMI
25
G. DONNAR
21
R. AïT-NO
 7.2
15
M. GUéHI
 7.6
45
A. KHUSAN
27
MATHEUS N
33
N. O&APOS
 7.2
20
BERNARDO
11
J. DOKU
 7.6
10
R. CHERKI
42
A. SEMENY
 7.7
9
E. HAALAN
SUBSTITUTES · BURNLEY
16
Florentino
M
10
M. Edwards
F
23
Lucas Pires
D
8
L. Ugochukwu
M
27
A. Broja
F
4
J. Worrall
D
31
M. Trésor
F
13
M. Weiß
G
9
L. Foster
F
COACH: Scott Parker
SUBSTITUTES · MANCHESTER CITY
14
Nico Gonzále...
M
7
Omar Marmous...
F
47
P. Foden
M
6
N. Aké
D
5
J. Stones
D
8
M. Kovačić
M
4
T. Reijnders
M
1
J. Trafford
G
26
Sávio
F
COACH: Pep Guardiola
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BUR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Madley
—
BUR MANAGER
Scott Parker
head coach
MAN MANAGER
Pep Guardiola
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
BUR WINS
0
DRAWS
10
MAN WINS
100%
2 – 32
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Sep 2025
Manchester City
5 – 1
Burnley
L
31 Jan 2024
Manchester City
3 – 1
Burnley
L
11 Aug 2023
Burnley
0 – 3
Manchester City
L
02 Apr 2022
Burnley
0 – 2
Manchester City
L
16 Oct 2021
Manchester City
2 – 0
Burnley
L
BURNLEY LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D L
MANCHESTER CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
BURNLEY #19
Lost · already at 20 pts
Relegation - Championship
MANCHESTER CITY #2
Won · already at 70 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 +38 73
W L L W W
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 +37 70
W W W D D
3 Manchester United 34 17 10 7 +14 61
W W L D W
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 +13 58
W W W L D
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 +5 58
L W D W L
6 Brighton 34 13 11 10 +9 50
W D W W W
7 Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 0 49
D W W D D
8 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 +8 48
L L L L L
9 Brentford 34 13 9 12 +3 48
L D D D D
10 Fulham 34 14 6 14 -2 48
W D L W D
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 0 47
L L D W L
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 -9 46
L L W W L
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 -3 43
L D W D W
14 Newcastle 34 12 6 16 -4 42
L L L L W
15 Leeds 34 9 13 12 -7 40
D W W D D
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 -4 39
W W D W D
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 -16 36
W D W L D
18 Tottenham 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W D L L D
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 -34 20
L L L L D
20 Wolves 34 3 8 23 -38 17
L L L D W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · J. Laurent
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · J. Anthony
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · B. Humphreys
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Z. Flemming
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · L. Tchaouna
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Semenyo
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. Aït-Nouri
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal · E. Haaland
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BURNLEY WIN
18.43
5.4% implied
↑ best 23.00
DRAW
9.11
11% implied
↑ best 10.00
MANCHESTER CITY WIN
1.14
87.7% implied
↑ best 1.16
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 16.00 7.00 1.16
1xBet 21.00 9.95 1.15
888Sport 15.00 8.50 1.14
Bet365 17.00 9.00 1.14
Betano 19.50 9.25 1.16
Betfair 20.00 9.50 1.13
BetVictor 19.00 9.50 1.12
Dafabet 18.00 9.40 1.14
Marathonbet 22.00 9.70 1.13
Pinnacle 18.25 9.48 1.14
SBO 15.88 8.68 1.12
Unibet 23.00 10.00 1.10
William Hill 15.00 8.50 1.14

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.07 U 7.67
2.5 O 1.30 U 3.42
3.5 O 1.80 U 2.03
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.99 10 bks
NO
1.76 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.75 1.00
Away +0 1.04
Away +0.25 1.06
Away +0.5 1.12
Away +0.75 1.20
Away +1 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.