GOALSENSE
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Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SUN, 23 AUG · 13:00 LOCAL
BRIGHTON
8TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L W L
FT
4 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 4-0
ASTON VILLA
L W W W D
· 4TH · 65 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Victor Lindelöf (OG) ⚽ 18' Maxim De Cuyper ⚽ 30' Jack Hinshelwood ⚽ 31' Jack Hinshelwood
GOALS
Jack Hinshelwood
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jack Hinshelwood
Brighton · 64 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 14% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

3.62
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.31
73%
BALL POSSESSION %
27%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
6
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
93%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
5
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Victor Lindelöf
    BRI
  2. 9'
    Card · Yellow Card
    João Gomes
    AST
  3. 9'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pascal Groß
    BRI
  4. 11'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yasin Ayari
    BRI
  5. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maxim De Cuyper · assist Georginio Rutter
    BRI
  6. 30'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jack Hinshelwood · assist Diego Gómez
    BRI
  7. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jack Hinshelwood
    BRI
  8. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    John McGinn
    AST
  9. 40'
    Card · Red Card
    João Gomes
    AST
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jack Hinshelwood · assist Charalampos Kostoulas
    BRI
  11. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yasin Ayari · assist Costinha
    BRI
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ross Barkley · assist Lamare Bogarde
    AST
  13. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Pau Torres · assist Tyrone Mings
    AST
  14. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mats Wieffer · assist Zadok Yohanna
    BRI
  15. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Maxim De Cuyper · assist Ibrahim Osman
    BRI
  16. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    I. Maatsen · assist Matteo Ruggeri
    AST
  17. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    John McGinn · assist Alysson
    AST
  18. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Diego Gómez · assist Malick Yalcouyé
    BRI
  19. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Emiliano Buendía · assist Alejandro Garnacho
    AST
  20. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matty Cash
    AST
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BRIGHTON AVG 8.1
ASTON VILLA AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.6
xG
0.3
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
6.0
ON TARGET
0.0
12.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
73.0%
POSSESSION %
27.0%
628.0
PASSES
239.0
93.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
2.0
6.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
8.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BRIGHTON 10 shots
Maxim De Cuyper
1/3
Diego Gómez
2/3
Jack Hinshelwood
2/2
Georginio Rutter
0/2
ASTON VILLA 4 shots
Emiliano Buendía
0/3
Ross Barkley
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 3.62 – 0.31
2.9 2.2 1.4 0.7 3.6 0.0 HT 8' 18' 30' 31' H 3.62 A 0.31 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
BART VERB
 7.7
21
OLIVIER B
5
LEWIS DUN
44
LUKA VUšK
27
MATS WIEF
26
YASIN AYA
13
PASCAL GR
 8.2
29
MAXIM DE
 8.9
8
JACK HINS
 8.2
25
DIEGO GóM
 7.7
10
GEORGINIO
40
MARCO BIZ
22
I. MAATSE
14
PAU TORRE
3
VICTOR LI
2
MATTY CAS
35
JOãO GOME
8
BOUBACAR
53
GEORGE HE
 6.7
6
ROSS BARK
7
JOHN MCGI
 6.7
10
EMILIANO
SUBSTITUTES · BRIGHTON
12
Promise Davi...
F
35
Malick Yalco...
M
15
Ibrahim Osma...
F
30
Michael Svob...
D
4
Pascal Strui...
D
23
Jason Steele
G
19
Charalampos...
F
20
Costinha
D
36
Zadok Yohann...
F
COACH: Fabian Hurzeler
SUBSTITUTES · ASTON VILLA
17
Alejandro Ga...
F
49
Bradley Burr...
F
45
Triston Rowe
D
47
Alysson
F
26
Lamare Bogar...
M
13
Matteo Rugge...
D
5
Tyrone Mings
D
1
Zion Suzuki
G
74
Luka Lynch
F
COACH: Unai Emery
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BRI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Peter Bankes, England
—
BRI MANAGER
Fabian Hurzeler
head coach
AST MANAGER
Unai Emery
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
BRI WINS
2
DRAWS
7
AST WINS
10%
20%
70%
11 – 24
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
11 Feb 2026
Aston Villa
1 – 0
Brighton
L
03 Dec 2025
Brighton
3 – 4
Aston Villa
L
02 Apr 2025
Brighton
0 – 3
Aston Villa
L
30 Dec 2024
Aston Villa
2 – 2
Brighton
D
05 May 2024
Brighton
1 – 0
Aston Villa
W
BRIGHTON LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W L
ASTON VILLA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–0 · result locked
BRIGHTON #8
Won · already at 53 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
ASTON VILLA #4
Lost · already at 65 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Matty Cash
    Roughing
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Emiliano Buendía
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Diego Gómez
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · John McGinn
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · I. Maatsen
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Maxim De Cuyper
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mats Wieffer
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Pau Torres
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ross Barkley
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yasin Ayari
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jack Hinshelwood
  • HALF TIME · 4 – 0
  • 40'
    Card · Red Card · João Gomes
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · John McGinn
    Tripping
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jack Hinshelwood
  • 30'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jack Hinshelwood
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maxim De Cuyper
  • 11'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yasin Ayari
    Roughing
  • 9'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pascal Groß
    Tripping
  • 9'
    Card · Yellow Card · João Gomes
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 8'
    Goal · Own Goal · Victor Lindelöf
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BRIGHTON WIN
2.19
45.7% implied
↑ best 2.24
DRAW
3.43
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.60
ASTON VILLA WIN
3.32
30.1% implied
↑ best 3.50
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
1xBet 2.24 3.54 3.50
888Sport 2.20 3.30 3.10
Bet365 2.15 3.50 3.25
Betano 2.18 3.45 3.35
Betfair 2.20 3.40 3.40
BetVictor 2.15 3.30 3.50
Dafabet 2.24 3.60 3.20
Marathonbet 2.17 3.50 3.50
Pinnacle 2.24 3.52 3.36
SBO 2.15 3.31 3.20
Superbet 2.22 3.45 3.30
Unibet 2.17 3.45 3.25
William Hill 2.20 3.30 3.25

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.62
2.5 O 1.89 U 1.93
3.5 O 3.12 U 1.35
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 10 bks
NO
2.08 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.97
Away -0.5 1.70
Away -0.75 1.52
Away -1 1.32
Away -1.25 1.26
Away -1.5 1.21
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.