GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA 68%
CONF 61 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · WED, 24 JUN · 19:00 LOCAL
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA
5TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D L D
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
QATAR
L D L W
· 4TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 29' Kerim Alajbegović ⚽ 34' Mahmud Abunada (OG) ⚽ 80' Ermin Mahmić
GOALS
⚽ 42' Hassan Al Haydos
Kerim Alajbegović
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kerim Alajbegović
Bosnia & Herzegovina · 82 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 28% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.64
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.77
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
9
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
5
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kerim Alajbegović · assist Ivan Bašić
    BOS
  2. 34'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Mahmud Abunada
    BOS
  3. 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Hassan Al Haydos · assist Edmilson Junior
    QAT
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ivan Šunjić · assist B. Tahirović
    BOS
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Arjan Malić · assist A. Memić
    BOS
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jassem Gaber · assist Abdulaziz Hatem
    QAT
  7. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hassan Al Haydos · assist Ahmed Al Ganehi
    QAT
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    N. Katić · assist D. Hadžikadunić
    BOS
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    E. Džeko · assist Ermin Mahmić
    BOS
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Karim Boudiaf · assist Almoez Ali
    QAT
  11. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ahmed Fathi
    QAT
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Edmilson Junior · assist Ahmed Alaa
    QAT
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ahmed Fathi · assist Mohamed Al Manai
    QAT
  14. 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ermin Mahmić · assist D. Hadžikadunić
    BOS
  15. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kerim Alajbegović · assist Dženis Burnić
    BOS
  16. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ermin Mahmić
    BOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA AVG 7.5
QATAR AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
0.8
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
516.0
PASSES
434.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
5.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
14.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA 3 shots
Kerim Alajbegović
1/1
Ivan Bašić
0/1
Ermin Mahmić
1/1
QATAR 3 shots
Akram Afif
0/2
Hassan Al Haydos
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.64 – 0.77
0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.0 HT 29' 34' 80' 42' H 0.64 A 0.77 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
1
NIKOLA VA
 6.9
5
SEAD KOLA
 7.0
21
STJEPAN R
18
N. KATIć
24
ARJAN MAL
 8.0
19
KERIM ALA
14
IVAN ŠUNJ
 7.9
13
IVAN BAšI
20
ESMIR BAJ
11
E. DžEKO
10
E. DEMIRO
1
MAHMUD AB
18
SULTAN AL
4
GUEYE LAY
16
BOUALEM K
2
PEDRO MIG
 6.9
12
KARIM BOU
20
AHMED FAT
5
JASSEM GA
 7.3
10
HASSAN AL
 6.9
11
AKRAM AFI
 7.2
8
EDMILSON
SUBSTITUTES · BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA
7
Amar Dedić
D
16
Amir Hadžiah...
M
8
Armin Gigovi...
M
25
J. Lukić
F
9
S. Baždar
F
2
N. Mujakić
D
12
M. Jurkas
G
22
Martin Zlomi...
G
17
Dženis Burni...
M
26
Ermin Mahmić
M
3
D. Hadžikadu...
D
15
A. Memić
M
6
B. Tahirović
M
23
H. Tabaković
F
COACH: Sergej Barbarez
SUBSTITUTES · QATAR
3
Lucas Mendes
D
25
A. Al Hussai...
D
13
Ayoub Al Oui
D
24
Tahsin Jamsh...
F
9
Mohammed Mun...
F
21
Salah Zakari...
G
22
Meshaal Bars...
G
7
Ahmed Alaa
F
26
Mohamed Al M...
M
19
Almoez Ali
F
17
Ahmed Al Gan...
F
6
Abdulaziz Ha...
M
15
Y. Abdurisag
F
COACH: Julen Lopetegui
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

QAT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jesús Valenzuela, Venezuela
—
BOS MANAGER
Sergej Barbarez
head coach
QAT MANAGER
Julen Lopetegui
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
BOS WINS
1
DRAWS
0
QAT WINS
100%
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L D
QATAR LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA #3
Won · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
QATAR #4
Lost · already at 1 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ermin Mahmić
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kerim Alajbegović
  • 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ermin Mahmić
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ahmed Fathi
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Edmilson Junior
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ahmed Fathi
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Karim Boudiaf
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · E. Džeko
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · N. Katić
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hassan Al Haydos
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jassem Gaber
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Arjan Malić
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ivan Šunjić
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Hassan Al Haydos
  • 34'
    Goal · Own Goal · Mahmud Abunada
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kerim Alajbegović
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BOSNIA & HERZEGO WIN
1.37
73% implied
↑ best 1.42
DRAW
5.26
19% implied
↑ best 5.65
QATAR WIN
7.74
12.9% implied
↑ best 8.50

Market favors Bosnia & Herzegovina. AI projects BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA 68%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.38 5.00 6.80 0.0%
1xBet 1.39 5.55 8.45 +2.0%
888Sport 1.33 4.80 7.50 -0.8%
Bet365 1.36 5.25 7.50 +1.0%
Betano 1.42 5.20 7.60 +0.8%
Betfair 1.36 5.50 8.00 +1.8%
BetVictor 1.33 5.00 8.50 +0.2%
Marathonbet 1.38 5.50 8.40 +1.8%
Pinnacle 1.39 5.65 8.10 +2.3%
SBO 1.37 5.30 7.50 +1.1%
Superbet 1.39 5.30 7.30 +1.1%
Unibet 1.36 5.30 7.50 +1.1%
William Hill 1.35 5.00 7.50 0.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.75
2.5 O 1.55 U 2.42
3.5 O 2.40 U 1.57
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.81 11 bks
NO
1.93 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.79
Away -0.5 3.01
Away -0.75 2.69
Away -1 2.47
Away -1.25 2.08
Away -1.5 1.81
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.