GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · BENFICA 68%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · MON, 11 MAY · 19:15 LOCAL
BENFICA
3RD · 80 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W W W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SC BRAGA
D L D W L
· 4TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 46' Rafa Silva ⚽ 90+5' V. Pavlidis (P)
GOALS
⚽ 48' Pau Victor ⚽ 88' Jean-Baptiste Gorby
Andreas Schjelderup
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Andreas Schjelderup
Benfica · 95 mins
· 20% pass acc
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 7 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Highlights | SL Benfica 2-2 SC Braga | Liga Portugal Betclic
Open in Youtube ↗
Resumo: Benfica 2-2 Braga (Liga 25/26 #33)
Primeira Liga: Benfica vs SC Braga
Primeira Liga: Benfica vs SC Braga
Primeira Liga: Benfica vs SC Braga
Primeira Liga: Benfica vs SC Braga
Primeira Liga: Benfica vs SC Braga
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

3.17
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.21
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
24
TOTAL SHOTS
5
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
8
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rafa Silva
    BEN
  2. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pau Victor · assist Victor Gómez
    SC
  3. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lukáš Horníček
    SC
  4. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Leonardo Lelo
    SC
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Franjo Ivanović · assist V. Pavlidis
    BEN
  6. 64'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - video review
    V. Pavlidis
    BEN
  7. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gabriel Martínez · assist Mario Dorgeles
    SC
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fran Navarro · assist R. Zalazar
    SC
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    L. Barreiro · assist Dodi Lukebakio
    BEN
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Leonardo Lelo · assist Gabriel Moscardo
    SC
  11. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Amar Dedić
    BEN
  12. 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jean-Baptiste Gorby · assist Mario Dorgeles
    SC
  13. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Vítor Carvalho
    SC
  14. 90'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    V. Pavlidis
    BEN
  15. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Victor Gómez
    SC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BENFICA AVG 7.7
SC BRAGA AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.2
xG
0.2
24.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
8.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
8.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
462.0
PASSES
425.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BENFICA 10 shots
Gianluca Prestianni
1/3
Rafa Silva
2/2
Fredrik Aursnes
1/2
António Silva
0/2
Andreas Schjelderup
0/1
SC BRAGA 2 shots
Pau Victor
1/1
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 3.17 – 0.21
2.5 1.9 1.3 0.6 3.2 0.0 HT 46' 90' 48' 88' H 3.17 A 0.21 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
1
ANATOLIY
26
SAMUEL DA
 7.5
4
ANTóNIO S
44
TOMáS ARA
17
AMAR DEDI
18
L. BARREI
 7.5
8
FREDRIK A
 8.5
21
ANDREAS S
 7.7
27
RAFA SILV
 7.2
25
GIANLUCA
9
FRANJO IV
 7.9
1
LUKáš HOR
5
LEONARDO
6
VíTOR CAR
14
GUSTAF LA
77
GABRIEL M
 7.2
34
E. TıKNAZ
8
JOãO MOUT
 6.9
2
VICTOR Gó
 7.9
18
PAU VICTO
 7.2
29
JEAN-BAPT
39
FRAN NAVA
SUBSTITUTES · BENFICA
7
Bruma
F
5
E. Barrenech...
M
11
Dodi Lukebak...
F
10
Georgiy Suda...
M
16
Manu Silva
M
6
Alexander Ba...
D
64
Gonçalo Oliv...
D
24
Samuel Soare...
G
14
V. Pavlidis
F
COACH: Jose Mourinho
SUBSTITUTES · SC BRAGA
10
R. Zalazar
M
90
Luís Pinto
M
20
Mario Dorgel...
M
17
Gabriel Mosc...
M
41
Yanis da Roc...
M
15
Paulo Olivei...
D
53
Jonatás Noro
D
12
Tiago Sá
G
9
Amine El Oua...
F
COACH: Carlos Vicens
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Pinheiro
—
BEN MANAGER
Jose Mourinho
head coach
SC MANAGER
Carlos Vicens
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
BEN WINS
2
DRAWS
2
SC WINS
60%
20%
20%
17 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Dec 2025
SC Braga
2 – 2
Benfica
D
17 May 2025
SC Braga
1 – 1
Benfica
D
04 Jan 2025
Benfica
1 – 2
SC Braga
L
27 Apr 2024
Benfica
3 – 1
SC Braga
W
17 Dec 2023
SC Braga
0 – 1
Benfica
W
BENFICA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W W
SC BRAGA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
BENFICA #3
Lost · already at 80 pts
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
SC BRAGA #4
Lost · already at 59 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Victor Gómez
    Delay of game
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Penalty · V. Pavlidis
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Vítor Carvalho
  • 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jean-Baptiste Gorby
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Amar Dedić
    Tripping
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Leonardo Lelo
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · L. Barreiro
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fran Navarro
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gabriel Martínez
  • 64'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - video review · V. Pavlidis
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Franjo Ivanović
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · Leonardo Lelo
    Tripping
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lukáš Horníček
    Delay of game
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pau Victor
  • 46'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rafa Silva
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BENFICA WIN
1.38
72.5% implied
↑ best 1.42
DRAW
4.92
20.3% implied
↑ best 5.36
SC BRAGA WIN
7.32
13.7% implied
↑ best 8.15

Market favors Benfica. AI projects BENFICA 68%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BENFICA 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.39 5.00 6.75 -1.0%
1xBet 1.38 5.36 8.15 +0.7%
888Sport 1.36 4.75 7.00 -1.3%
Bet365 1.38 4.75 7.00 -1.3%
Betano 1.42 5.30 7.70 +0.1%
Betfair 1.36 4.75 7.50 -0.3%
BetVictor 1.36 4.60 7.00 -1.3%
Dafabet 1.42 5.00 7.20 -0.9%
Marathonbet 1.35 5.00 7.60 -0.2%
Pinnacle 1.38 5.22 7.70 +0.0%
SBO 1.37 4.72 7.05 -1.2%
Unibet 1.37 4.80 7.50 -0.3%
William Hill 1.36 4.75 7.00 -1.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 4.74
2.5 O 1.57 U 2.35
3.5 O 2.40 U 1.52
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.79 10 bks
NO
1.93 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.85
Away -0.5 3.01
Away -0.75 2.67
Away -1 2.33
Away -1.25 1.98
Away -1.5 1.74
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.