AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · BENFICA 68% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 06 AUG · 19:00 LOCAL
BENFICA
LAST 5:
W W D D W
FT
6 1
FULL TIME HT · 3-0
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN
D D L L W
· LAST 5
⚽ 3' Rafa Silva ⚽ 23' Tomás Araújo ⚽ 42' Vangelis Pavlidis (P) ⚽ 59' Gianluca Prestianni ⚽ 87' Jhon Durán ⚽ 90+4' Andreas Schjelderup (P)
GOALS
⚽ 72' Tom Renaud
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

67%
BALL POSSESSION %
33%
11
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
6
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 24 events
  1. 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rafa Silva · assist L. Barreiro
    BEN
  2. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tomás Araújo · assist Georgiy Sudakov
    BEN
  3. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gianluca Prestianni
    BEN
  4. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Laurent Mendy
    HEA
  5. 42'
    Goal · Penalty
    Vangelis Pavlidis
    BEN
  6. 45'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Vangelis Pavlidis
    BEN
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Laurent Mendy · assist Tom Renaud
    HEA
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Harry Milne · assist Jamie McCart
    HEA
  9. 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gianluca Prestianni
    BEN
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pierre Landry Kaboré · assist Severin Sabri Guendouz
    HEA
  11. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Vangelis Pavlidis · assist Jhon Durán
    BEN
  12. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Enzo Barrenechea · assist Richard Ríos
    BEN
  13. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Georgiy Sudakov · assist Andreas Schjelderup
    BEN
  14. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Blair Spittal
    HEA
  15. 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tom Renaud · assist Severin Sabri Guendouz
    HEA
  16. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    C. Lenglet · assist Manu Silva
    BEN
  17. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Calvin Miller · assist Josh McPake
    HEA
  18. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alexander Bah
    BEN
  19. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Oisin McEntee
    HEA
  20. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Gianluca Prestianni · assist Jakub Kamiński
    BEN
  21. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Alexandros Kyziridis · assist Sabah Kerjota
    HEA
  22. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jhon Durán · assist Andreas Schjelderup
    BEN
  23. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cláudio Braga
    HEA
  24. 90'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Andreas Schjelderup
    BEN
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
5.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
67.0%
POSSESSION %
33.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
2.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
14
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
SUBSTITUTES · BENFICA
17
Amar Dedić
D
62
José Neto
D
11
Dodi Lukebak...
M
73
Miguel Figue...
M
33
Gabriel Indi...
D
1
Anatoliy Tru...
G
13
Jakub Kamińs...
M
16
Manu Silva
M
22
Jhon Durán
F
21
Andreas Schj...
M
20
Richard Ríos
M
72
Anísio Cabra...
F
COACH: Marco Silva
SUBSTITUTES · HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN
22
Tomas Magnus...
M
39
Matthew Gill...
M
21
James Wilson
F
29
Sabah Kerjot...
F
24
Michael John...
D
30
Ryan Fulton
G
28
Zander Clark
G
15
Josh McPake
M
19
Severin Sabr...
F
12
Tom Renaud
M
5
Jamie McCart
D
77
Amadou Ba-Sy
F
COACH: Wouter Vrancken
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HEA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Marian Barbu, Romania
BEN MANAGER
Marco Silva
head coach
HEA MANAGER
Wouter Vrancken
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
BEN WINS
0
DRAWS
0
HEA WINS
100%
1 0
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
BENFICA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D D W
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L L W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Andreas Schjelderup
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Cláudio Braga
    Roughing
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jhon Durán
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Alexandros Kyziridis
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Gianluca Prestianni
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Oisin McEntee
    Roughing
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alexander Bah
    Holding
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Calvin Miller
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · C. Lenglet
  • 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tom Renaud
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Blair Spittal
    Tripping
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Georgiy Sudakov
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Enzo Barrenechea
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Vangelis Pavlidis
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pierre Landry Kaboré
  • 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gianluca Prestianni
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Harry Milne
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Laurent Mendy
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 0
  • 45'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Vangelis Pavlidis
  • 42'
    Goal · Penalty · Vangelis Pavlidis
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Laurent Mendy
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gianluca Prestianni
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tomás Araújo
  • 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rafa Silva
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
BENFICA WIN
1.10
90.9% implied
↑ best 1.14
DRAW
9.63
10.4% implied
↑ best 11.00
HEART OF MIDLOTH WIN
18.52
5.4% implied
↑ best 23.00

Market favors Benfica. AI projects BENFICA 68% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BENFICA 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.09 9.10 21.00 +11.0%
1xBet 1.14 10.20 18.50 +12.2%
888Sport 1.11 9.00 17.00 +10.9%
Bet365 1.09 10.00 15.00 +12.0%
Betano 1.12 8.50 18.00 +10.2%
Betfair 1.07 11.00 23.00 +12.9%
BetVictor 1.07 10.50 23.00 +12.5%
Dafabet 1.09 9.80 19.00 +11.8%
Marathonbet 1.14 10.25 18.50 +12.2%
Pinnacle 1.10 10.60 17.32 +12.6%
SBO 1.08 7.91 13.00 +9.4%
Superbet 1.10 10.00 20.00 +12.0%
Unibet 1.10 9.00 19.00 +10.9%
William Hill 1.10 9.00 17.00 +10.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.06 U 7.78
2.5 O 1.26 U 3.59
3.5 O 1.71 U 2.08
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.09 11 bks
NO
1.67 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 10.03
Away -0.5 5.93
Away -0.75 5.97
Away -1 4.48
Away -1.25 3.38
Away -1.5 3.06
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.