GOALSENSE
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Serie C - Girone C · GIRONE C - 38 · SUN, 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
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BENEVENTO
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME
AUDACE CERIGNOLA
⚽ 26' G. Mignani ⚽ 52' D. Lamesta
GOALS
⚽ 35' D. Gambale ⚽ 78' D. Gambale
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
BEN
2 – 0
AUD
most likely scoreline · 13.1% probability
AI PICKS BENEVENTO TO WIN 58%
FT 2 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
BEN WIN 58%
DRAW 28%
AUD WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 77.83% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 78% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Benevento scored at 26'; early lead favours home side but Cerignola's defensive record (DD away) keeps upset odds alive.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY BENEVENTO FAVORED
58%
Benevento 1-0 up at minute 26 (80+ mins remaining) — strong positional advantage
CONTEXT
H2H heavily Benevento (4-0 and 4-2 wins in last 2 matches) — dominant recent record
CONTEXT
Both teams recent form mixed (Benevento WWDDD, Cerignola LLDDD) — neither in hot streak
CONTEXT
WHY AUDACE CERIGNOLA CHALLENGED
14%
Benevento 1-0 up at minute 26 (80+ mins remaining) — strong positional advantage
CONTEXT
H2H heavily Benevento (4-0 and 4-2 wins in last 2 matches) — dominant recent record
CONTEXT
Both teams recent form mixed (Benevento WWDDD, Cerignola LLDDD) — neither in hot streak
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Benevento 1-0 up at minute 26 (80+ mins remaining) — strong positional advantage
  • H2H heavily Benevento (4-0 and 4-2 wins in last 2 matches) — dominant recent record
  • Both teams recent form mixed (Benevento WWDDD, Cerignola LLDDD) — neither in hot streak
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 26' G. MIGNANI ⚽ 35' D. GAMBALE ⚽ 52' D. LAMESTA ⚽ 78' D. GAMBALE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5
4.0
1.4
0.3
0.1
·
·
1
12.0
8.6
3.1
0.8
0.1
·
·
2
13.1
9.4
3.4
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
9.5
6.8
2.5
0.6
0.1
·
·
4
5.2
3.7
1.3
0.3
0.1
·
·
5
2.3
1.6
0.6
0.1
·
·
·
6+
0.8
0.6
0.2
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 13.1%
1 — 0 12.0%
3 — 0 9.5%
2 — 1 9.4%
1 — 1 8.6%
Top 5 = 52.6% · rest 47.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.07
28.0%
3.57
+13.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.49
42.0%
2.38
+4.5%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
62.0%
1.61
+1.4%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.08
86.0%
1.16
-7.0%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.17
72.0%
1.39
-16.1%
—
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.44
58.0%
1.72
-16.5%
—
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.93
14.0%
7.14
-17.0%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.75
22.0%
4.55
-61.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.