GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · FC PORTO 78% · Value: Over 2.5 68%
CONF 76 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SUN, 10 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
AVS
18TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D D D
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
FC PORTO
W W W W L
· 1ST · 88 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 23' Roni ⚽ 58' Roni ⚽ 80' Aderllan Santos
GOALS
⚽ 53' Deniz Gül
Roni
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Roni
AVS · 88 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 23% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Resumo: AFS 3-1 FC Porto (Liga 25/26 #33)
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.75
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
3.06
31%
BALL POSSESSION %
69%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
20
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
68%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
3
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Roni
    AVS
  2. 49'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mateus Pivô · assist Tiago Galletto
    AVS
  3. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Deniz Gül · assist Borja Sainz
    FC
  4. 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Roni · assist Guilherme Neiva
    AVS
  5. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Roni
    AVS
  6. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Seko Fofana · assist Victor Froholdt
    FC
  7. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Borja Sainz · assist William Gomes
    FC
  8. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    D. Prpić
    FC
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pepê · assist Oskar Pietuszewski
    FC
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Alan Varela · assist T. Silva
    FC
  11. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Guilherme Neiva · assist Tomané
    AVS
  12. 76'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    William Gomes
    FC
  13. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gustavo Mendonca · assist Aderllan Santos
    AVS
  14. 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Aderllan Santos · assist Tunde Akinsola
    AVS
  15. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Rodrigo Mora · assist Gabri Veiga
    FC
  16. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pedro Lima
    AVS
  17. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    D. Prpić
    FC
  18. 90'+2
    Card · Red Card
    D. Prpić
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AVS AVG 7.9
FC PORTO AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.8
xG
3.1
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
5.0
ON TARGET
4.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
2.0
BLOCKED
10.0
POSSESSION
31.0%
POSSESSION %
69.0%
247.0
PASSES
540.0
68.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
7.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
9.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AVS 3 shots
Roni
2/2
Aderllan Santos
1/1
FC PORTO 4 shots
Deniz Gül
2/2
Borja Sainz
0/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.75 – 3.06
2.4 1.8 1.2 0.6 3.1 0.0 HT 23' 58' 80' 53' H 0.75 A 3.06 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
7.3
1
ADRIEL
12
DANIEL RI
3
PAULO VIT
 7.3
42
CRISTIAN
97
MATEUS PI
 9.3
70
RONI
8
PEDRO LIM
23
GUSTAVO M
21
GUILHERME
20
DIEGO DUA
 7.9
11
TUNDE AKI
14
CLáUDIO R
 6.9
74
FRANCISCO
21
D. PRPIć
3
THIAGO SI
20
ALBERTO C
42
SEKO FOFA
22
ALAN VARE
 6.9
17
BORJA SAI
86
RODRIGO M
 6.9
11
PEPê
 7.2
27
DENIZ GüL
SUBSTITUTES · AVS
14
Óscar Perea
F
27
Ángel Algobi...
M
19
Tiago Gallet...
M
25
Andre Green
F
33
Aderllan San...
D
26
Ponck
D
88
Pedro Trigue...
G
93
Simão
G
7
Tomané
F
COACH: Joao Henriques
SUBSTITUTES · FC PORTO
29
Terem Moffi
F
58
Tiago Silva
M
13
P. Rosario
M
77
Oskar Pietus...
F
10
Gabri Veiga
M
8
Victor Froho...
M
4
J. Kiwior
D
99
Diogo Costa
G
7
William Gome...
F
COACH: Francesco Farioli
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AVS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
C. Macedo
—
AVS MANAGER
Joao Henriques
head coach
FC MANAGER
Francesco Farioli
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
AVS WINS
0
DRAWS
3
FC WINS
100%
0 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 3
29 Dec 2025
FC Porto
2 – 0
AVS
L
15 Mar 2025
FC Porto
2 – 0
AVS
L
28 Oct 2024
AVS
0 – 5
FC Porto
L
AVS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D D D
FC PORTO LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
AVS #18
Won · already at 21 pts
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2
FC PORTO #1
Lost · already at 88 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Red Card · D. Prpić
    Roughing
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · D. Prpić
    Roughing
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pedro Lima
    Holding
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Rodrigo Mora
  • 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Aderllan Santos
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gustavo Mendonca
  • 76'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · William Gomes
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Guilherme Neiva
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Alan Varela
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pepê
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · D. Prpić
    Roughing
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Borja Sainz
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Seko Fofana
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Roni
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Roni
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Deniz Gül
  • 49'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mateus Pivô
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Roni
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
AVS WIN
9.89
10.1% implied
↑ best 12.00
DRAW
5.75
17.4% implied
↑ best 6.80
FC PORTO WIN
1.28
78.1% implied
↑ best 1.33

Market favors FC Porto. AI projects FC PORTO 78% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FC PORTO 78% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 12.00 6.40 1.20 -0.3%
1xBet 9.80 5.95 1.31 +1.7%
888Sport 9.00 5.50 1.29 +0.5%
Bet365 9.00 5.25 1.33 +2.8%
Betano 9.25 6.00 1.33 +2.8%
Betfair 10.00 5.50 1.25 -2.0%
Dafabet 12.00 6.80 1.23 -0.3%
Marathonbet 9.00 5.45 1.28 -0.1%
Pinnacle 9.45 5.67 1.31 +1.7%
SBO 8.68 5.42 1.28 -0.1%
Unibet 11.50 5.50 1.25 -0.7%
William Hill 9.00 5.50 1.29 +0.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.55
2.5 O 1.59 U 2.31
3.5 O 2.50 U 1.50
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.03 9 bks
NO
1.71 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away +0 1.05
Away +0.25 1.15
Away +0.5 1.26
Away +0.75 1.33
Away +1 1.41
Away +1.25 1.65
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.