J1 League
·
·
AVISPA FUKUOKA
PEN
2
–
2
AFTER PENALTIES
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA
⚽ 19' Shosei Usui
⚽ 72' Tomoya Miki
⚽ 120+1' Yuma Tsujioka
⚽ 120+2' Yuji Kitajima
⚽ 120+3' Teppei Oka
⚽ 120+4' Daiki Miya
⚽ 120+5' Kamijima Takumi
⚽ 120+6' Yu Hashimoto
GOALS
⚽ 4' Shuto Nakano
⚽ 10' Higashi Shunki
⚽ 120+1' Tolgay Arslan
⚽ 120+2' Maeda Naoki
⚽ 120+3' Akito Suzuki
⚽ 120+4' Motoki Ohara
⚽ 120+5' Yamasaki Taichi
⚽ 120+6' Arai Naoto
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100
MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
AVI
SAN
most likely scoreline · 7.6% probability
AI PICKS
DRAW TO WIN
42%
FT
2 – 2
→
🤖
AI PROJECTED FT
2 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN
HOW AI SEES THE MATCH
FINAL · VERIFIED
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
BTTS YES
AI projects 94% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.
CONF 94%
OVER 1.5 ✓
OVER 2.5 ✓
BTTS YES ✓
avoid: 1X2 single
4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS
90' deadlock with Avispa down to 10 men (red 80'); likely extra time or draw. Hiroshima slight edge.
🤖 AI REASONING
why AI picked this
WHY AVISPA FUKUOKA CHALLENGED
Avispa playing with 10 men since 80' red card — dramatically reduced draw/win chance
+25.0%
2–2 at 90' in final moments; extra time or penalty shootout most likely (match may not be settled by regulation)
+20.0%
Hiroshima superior form (WWLWW) and league position (4th vs 9th) + away record (WWWDD) supports slight favouritism if it goes on
+15.0%
WHY SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA CHALLENGED
Avispa playing with 10 men since 80' red card — dramatically reduced draw/win chance
+25.0%
2–2 at 90' in final moments; extra time or penalty shootout most likely (match may not be settled by regulation)
+20.0%
Hiroshima superior form (WWLWW) and league position (4th vs 9th) + away record (WWWDD) supports slight favouritism if it goes on
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
- Avispa playing with 10 men since 80' red card — dramatically reduced draw/win chance
- 2–2 at 90' in final moments; extra time or penalty shootout most likely (match may not be settled by regulation)
- Hiroshima superior form (WWLWW) and league position (4th vs 9th) + away record (WWWDD) supports slight favouritism if it goes on
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE
PROBABILITY TIMELINE
How AI re-projects after each event
H
DRAW
A
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 16 events marked
→ Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX
SCORELINE PROBABILITY
All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0%
7.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8
3.8
4.0
2.8
1.5
0.6
0.2
1
3.5
7.3
7.6
5.3
2.8
1.2
0.4
2
3.3
7.0
7.3
5.1
2.7
1.1
0.4
3
2.1
4.5
4.7
3.2
1.7
0.7
0.3
4
1.0
2.1
2.2
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.4
0.8
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
6+
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 2
7.6%
1 — 1
7.3%
2 — 2
7.3%
2 — 1
7.0%
1 — 3
5.3%
Top 5 = 34.6% · rest 65.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER
VALUE BETS
Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.97
94.0%
1.06
+85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.10
78.0%
1.28
+63.7%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.52
42.0%
2.38
+48.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.09
60.0%
1.67
+25.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.16
82.0%
1.22
-4.9%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.96
18.0%
5.56
-10.7%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.26
58.0%
1.72
-27.1%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.70
40.0%
2.50
-32.0%
—
⚠
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.