GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 44%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · ROUND OF 32 · FRI, 03 JUL · 18:00 LOCAL
AUSTRALIA
2ND · 4 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W L
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 0-1
EGYPT
L D W D W
· 2ND · 5 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 55' Mohamed Hany (OG) ⚽ 120+1' H. Souttar (P) ⚽ 120+2' Jackson Irvine (P) ⚽ 120+3' A. Mabil (P) ⚽ 120+4' Lucas Herrington (P)
GOALS
⚽ 13' Emam Ashour ⚽ 120+1' Mahmoud Saber (P) ⚽ 120+2' Rami Rabia (P) ⚽ 120+3' Mohamed Salah (P) ⚽ 120+4' Hossam Abdelmaguid (P)
Marwan Attia
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Marwan Attia
Egypt · 119 mins
· 96% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.87
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.36
42%
BALL POSSESSION %
58%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
14
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
4
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 23 events
  1. 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Emam Ashour · assist Karim Hafez
    EGY
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jordan Bos · assist K. Trewin
    AUS
  3. 55'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Mohamed Hany
    AUS
  4. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mostafa Zico · assist H. Hassan
    EGY
  5. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hamdi Fathy · assist Hossam Abdelmaguid
    EGY
  6. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Cristian Volpato · assist Ajdin Hrustić
    AUS
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nestory Irankunda · assist Mohamed Touré
    AUS
  8. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Karim Hafez · assist Trézéguet
    EGY
  9. 91'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    A. O'Neill · assist Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
    AUS
  10. 91'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Connor Metcalfe · assist A. Mabil
    AUS
  11. 105'
    Card · Yellow Card
    H. Hassan
    EGY
  12. 106'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Omar Marmoush · assist Hamza Abdelkarim
    EGY
  13. 119'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    P. Beach · assist Mathew Ryan
    AUS
  14. 120'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yasser Ibrahim
    EGY
  15. 120'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Marwan Attia · assist Mahmoud Saber
    EGY
  16. 120'+1
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    H. Souttar
    AUS
  17. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Mahmoud Saber
    EGY
  18. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Jackson Irvine
    AUS
  19. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Rami Rabia
    EGY
  20. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    A. Mabil
    AUS
  21. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Mohamed Salah
    EGY
  22. 120'+4
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Lucas Herrington
    AUS
  23. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Hossam Abdelmaguid
    EGY
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AUSTRALIA AVG 7.5
EGYPT AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
1.4
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
1.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
9.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
42.0%
POSSESSION %
58.0%
507.0
PASSES
723.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
7.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
14.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AUSTRALIA 3 shots
Cristian Volpato
0/2
A. O'Neill
0/1
EGYPT 4 shots
Emam Ashour
1/3
Marwan Attia
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.87 – 1.36
1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 55' 120' 120' 120' 120' 13' 120' 120' 120' 120' H 0.87 A 1.36 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 48%
52% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-4-2
3-4-2-1
4-4-2
18
P. BEACH
25
LUCAS HER
 7.7
19
H. SOUTTA
 7.3
3
A. CIRCAT
16
AZIZ BEHI
 7.3
13
A. O&APOS
 7.7
22
JACKSON I
5
JORDAN BO
8
CONNOR ME
 7.3
20
CRISTIAN
17
NESTORY I
 7.0
23
MOSTAFA S
 7.2
15
KARIM HAF
5
RAMI RABI
2
YASSER IB
3
MOHAMED H
22
OMAR MARM
 7.9
19
MARWAN AT
14
HAMDI FAT
 7.9
8
EMAM ASHO
11
MOSTAFA Z
10
MOHAMED S
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTRALIA
2
M. Degenek
D
6
J. Geria
D
21
Cameron Burg...
D
14
Cameron Devl...
M
23
Nishan Velup...
F
12
P. Izzo
G
1
Mathew Ryan
G
11
A. Mabil
M
24
Paul Michael...
M
9
Mohamed Tour...
F
10
Ajdin Hrusti...
M
15
K. Trewin
D
26
T. Yengi
F
COACH: Tony Popovic
SUBSTITUTES · EGYPT
16
Al Mahdi Sol...
G
24
T. Alaa
D
18
Nabil Donga
M
20
Ibrahim Adel
F
26
Mohamed Alaa
G
1
Mohamed El-S...
G
21
Mahmoud Sabe...
M
9
Hamza Abdelk...
F
7
Trézéguet
F
12
H. Hassan
F
4
Hossam Abdel...
D
25
Zizo
F
COACH: Hossam Hassan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

EGY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay
—
AUS MANAGER
Tony Popovic
head coach
EGY MANAGER
Hossam Hassan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
AUS WINS
1
DRAWS
0
EGY WINS
100%
AUSTRALIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L
EGYPT LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
AUSTRALIA #2
Lost · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
EGYPT #2
Lost · already at 5 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Hossam Abdelmaguid
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Lucas Herrington
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Mohamed Salah
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · A. Mabil
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Rami Rabia
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Jackson Irvine
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Mahmoud Saber
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Missed Penalty · H. Souttar
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Marwan Attia
  • 120'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yasser Ibrahim
    Roughing
  • 119'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · P. Beach
  • 106'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Omar Marmoush
  • 105'
    Card · Yellow Card · H. Hassan
    Holding
  • 91'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Connor Metcalfe
  • 91'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · A. O'Neill
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Karim Hafez
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nestory Irankunda
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Cristian Volpato
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hamdi Fathy
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mostafa Zico
  • 55'
    Goal · Own Goal · Mohamed Hany
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jordan Bos
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Emam Ashour
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
AUSTRALIA WIN
3.54
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.76
DRAW
2.86
35% implied
↑ best 2.96
EGYPT WIN
2.37
42.2% implied
↑ best 2.50

Market favors Egypt. AI projects DRAW 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.35 2.92 2.32 +9.8%
1xBet 3.74 2.96 2.44 +10.2%
888Sport 3.40 2.75 2.25 +7.6%
Bet365 3.50 2.88 2.38 +9.3%
Betano 3.65 2.90 2.45 +9.5%
Betfair 3.70 2.80 2.40 +8.3%
BetVictor 3.50 2.80 2.30 +8.3%
Dafabet 3.20 2.95 2.50 +10.1%
Marathonbet 3.62 2.86 2.36 +9.0%
Pinnacle 3.76 2.90 2.43 +9.5%
SBO 3.46 2.86 2.36 +9.0%
Unibet 3.60 2.85 2.38 +8.9%
William Hill 3.50 2.80 2.30 +8.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.55 U 2.43
2.5 O 2.68 U 1.46
3.5 O 5.16 U 1.14
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.12 10 bks
NO
1.67 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.40
Away -0.5 1.31
Away -0.75 1.19
Away -1 1.08
Away -1.25 1.04
Away -1.5 1.03
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.