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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · AUSTIN 96%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 11 · SUN, 03 MAY · 21:30 LOCAL
AUSTIN
14TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L L L
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ST. LOUIS CITY
W D W D W
· 6TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 69' Christian Ramirez ⚽ 81' Myrto Uzuni
GOALS
M. Desler
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
M. Desler
Austin · 85 mins
· 47% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Austin vs St. Louis City SC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

65%
BALL POSSESSION %
74%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
15
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
414%
PASS ACCURACY %
322%
4
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 36'
    Card · Handball
    Guilherme Biro
    AUS
  2. 38'
    Var
    AUS
  3. 51'
    Card · Foul
    Timo Baumgartl
    ST.
  4. 58'
    Subst
    Sergio Córdova · assist Eduard Löwen
    ST.
  5. 58'
    Subst
    Mamadou Fall · assist Lukas MacNaughton
    ST.
  6. 66'
    Subst
    Daniel Pereira
    AUS
  7. 68'
    Card · Foul
    Chris Durkin
    ST.
  8. 69'
    Goal · 1-0
    Christian Ramirez · assist Daniel Pereira
    AUS
  9. 73'
    Subst
    MyKhi Joyner · assist Miguel Perez
    ST.
  10. 73'
    Subst
    Fallou Fall · assist Simon Becher
    ST.
  11. 81'
    Goal · 2-0
    Myrto Uzuni · assist Christian Ramirez
    AUS
  12. 82'
    Subst
    Jon Bell · assist Guilherme Biro
    AUS
  13. 82'
    Subst
    Owen Wolff · assist Christian Ramirez
    AUS
  14. 87'
    Subst
    Brendan McSorley · assist Chris Durkin
    ST.
  15. 87'
    Card · Foul
    Brendan Hines-Ike
    AUS
  16. 89'
    Subst
    CJ Fodrey · assist Facundo Torres
    AUS
  17. 89'
    Subst
    Brandon Vazquez · assist Myrto Uzuni
    AUS
  18. 90'+5
    Card
    Brendan McSorley
    ST.
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AUSTIN AVG 8.1
ST. LOUIS CITY AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
65.0%
POSSESSION %
74.0%
475.0
PASSES
371.0
414.0%
PASS ACCURACY
322.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
6.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
10.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
20.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
5.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AUSTIN 7 shots
Myrto Uzuni
3/4
C. Ramirez
1/2
M. Desler
0/1
ST. LOUIS CITY 6 shots
Marcel Hartel
1/3
Miguel Perez
1/2
Eduard Löwen
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 3-4-2-1
4-4-2
3-4-2-1
8.3
1
B. STUVER
29
GUILHERME
4
B. HINES-
5
O. SVATOK
 8.3
3
M. DESLER
17
J. GALLAG
6
ILIE SáNC
 7.9
30
J. ROSALE
11
F. TORRES
 7.6
10
MYRTO UZU
 8.2
21
C. RAMIRE
 7.2
1
ROMAN BüR
21
DANTE POL
32
TIMO BAUM
 6.9
5
LUKAS MAC
14
TOMAS TOT
8
CHRISTOPH
 7.7
28
MIGUEL PE
6
CONRAD WA
 7.7
17
MARCEL HA
 6.9
10
EDUARD Lö
11
SIMON BEC
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
19
Calvin Fodre...
M
20
Nicolas Dube...
M
14
B. Šabović
M
8
Daniel Perei...
M
33
Owen Wolff
M
15
J. Bell
D
12
D. Las
G
9
B. Vázquez
F
COACH: Nico Estevez
SUBSTITUTES · ST. LOUIS CITY
36
Cedric Teuch...
F
59
Mykhi Joyner
M
80
Brendan McSo...
F
4
Mamadou Mbac...
D
27
Fallou Fall
D
20
Rafael Santo...
D
99
Jaziel Orozc...
D
39
Benjamin Lun...
G
16
Sergio Córdo...
F
COACH: Yoann Damet
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ST. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Freemon
—
AUS MANAGER
Nico Estevez
head coach
ST. MANAGER
Yoann Damet
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
AUS WINS
1
DRAWS
6
ST. WINS
22.2%
11.1%
66.7%
11 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
3.33
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 9
23 May 2026
St. Louis City
3 – 0
Austin
L
05 Oct 2025
Austin
1 – 3
St. Louis City
L
30 Mar 2025
St. Louis City
0 – 1
Austin
W
14 Apr 2024
St. Louis City
1 – 0
Austin
L
10 Mar 2024
Austin
2 – 2
St. Louis City
D
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L L
ST. LOUIS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
AUSTIN #14
Won · already at 21 pts
ST. LOUIS CITY #6
Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Brendan McSorley
    5th Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Subst · Brandon Vazquez
    10th Substitution
  • 89'
    Subst · CJ Fodrey
    9th Substitution
  • 87'
    Card · Foul · Brendan Hines-Ike
    4th Yellowcard
  • 87'
    Subst · Brendan McSorley
    8th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Owen Wolff
    7th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Jon Bell
    6th Substitution
  • 81'
    Goal · 2-0 · Myrto Uzuni
    2nd Goal
  • 73'
    Subst · Fallou Fall
    4th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · MyKhi Joyner
    5th Substitution
  • 69'
    Goal · 1-0 · Christian Ramirez
    1st Goal
  • 68'
    Card · Foul · Chris Durkin
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 66'
    Subst · Daniel Pereira
    3rd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Mamadou Fall
    2nd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Sergio Córdova
    1st Substitution
  • 51'
    Card · Foul · Timo Baumgartl
    2nd Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 38'
    Var
    Var
  • 36'
    Card · Handball · Guilherme Biro
    1st Yellowcard
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
AUSTIN WIN
2.65
37.7% implied
↑ best 2.76
DRAW
3.40
29.4% implied
↑ best 3.50
ST. LOUIS CITY WIN
2.56
39.1% implied
↑ best 2.63

Market favors St. Louis City. AI projects AUSTIN 96%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AUSTIN 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.56 3.50 2.55 +56.9%
Bet365 2.75 3.30 2.62 +59.6%
Betano 2.70 3.45 2.57 +59.0%
Betfair 2.60 3.40 2.60 +57.5%
BetVictor 2.63 3.50 2.50 +58.0%
Dafabet 2.70 3.50 2.60 +59.0%
Marathonbet 2.64 3.38 2.52 +58.1%
Pinnacle 2.76 3.49 2.60 +59.8%
SBO 2.60 3.28 2.50 +57.5%
Unibet 2.60 3.35 2.63 +57.5%
William Hill 2.62 3.20 2.50 +57.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.25 U 3.80
2.5 O 1.81 U 1.99
3.5 O 3.01 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.63 8 bks
NO
2.15 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.62
Away -0.5 1.48
Away -0.75 1.32
Away -1 1.19
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.