GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · AUSTIN 62% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · SUN, 17 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
AUSTIN
14TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D W W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
L W L D L
· 15TH · 11 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+1' Mikkel Desler
GOALS
⚽ 79' Manu García ⚽ 82' Stephen Afrifa
Stephen Afrifa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Stephen Afrifa
Sporting Kansas City · 14 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 0% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Austin vs Sporting Kansas City
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

55%
BALL POSSESSION %
111%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
20
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
315%
PASS ACCURACY %
345%
3
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 28'
    Card · Foul
    Capita
    SPO
  2. 45'+1
    Goal · 1-0
    Mikkel Desler · assist Guilherme Biro
    AUS
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Shapi Suleymanov · assist Capita
    SPO
  4. 47'
    Card · Foul
    Jake Davis
    SPO
  5. 57'
    Card · Foul
    Oleksandr Svatok
    AUS
  6. 60'
    Subst
    Jayden Nelson · assist Christian Ramirez
    AUS
  7. 60'
    Subst
    Jon Gallagher · assist Owen Wolff
    AUS
  8. 61'
    Card · Foul
    AUS
  9. 63'
    Card
    SPO
  10. 63'
    Card · Foul
    Zorhan Bassong
    SPO
  11. 64'
    Subst
    Manu García · assist Zorhan Bassong
    SPO
  12. 64'
    Subst
    Justin Reynolds · assist Jake Davis
    SPO
  13. 71'
    Card · Foul
    Jayden Nelson
    AUS
  14. 73'
    Subst
    Daniel Pereira
    AUS
  15. 73'
    Subst
    Brandon Vazquez · assist Facundo Torres
    AUS
  16. 75'
    Subst
    Stephen Afrifa · assist Taylor Calheira
    SPO
  17. 79'
    Goal · 1-1
    Manu García · assist Shapi Suleymanov
    SPO
  18. 82'
    Goal · 1-2
    Stephen Afrifa
    SPO
  19. 84'
    Subst
    CJ Fodrey · assist Mikkel Desler
    AUS
  20. 85'
    Subst
    AUS
  21. 86'
    Card · Foul
    CJ Fodrey
    AUS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AUSTIN AVG 7.1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
3.0
ON TARGET
8.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
111.0%
372.0
PASSES
417.0
315.0%
PASS ACCURACY
345.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
7.0
13.0
OFFSIDES
22.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
21.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
6.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AUSTIN 1 shots
Mikkel Desler
1/1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 5 shots
Shapi Suleymanov
1/2
Stephen Afrifa
1/1
Manu García
1/1
Lasse Berg Johnsen
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 52%
48% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
7.2
1
BRAD STUV
29
GUILHERME
 7.2
15
JONATHAN
5
OLEKSANDR
 7.2
3
MIKKEL DE
33
OWEN WOLF
6
ILIE SáNC
 7.0
30
JOSEPH RO
 6.9
11
FACUNDO T
10
MYRTO UZU
21
CHRISTIAN
30
STEFAN CL
99
JAYDEN RE
 6.9
28
WYATT MEY
2
IAN JAMES
8
JACOB DAV
11
CALVIN HA
22
ZORHAN BA
 6.9
4
LASSE BER
7
CAPITA
19
TAYLOR CA
9
DEJAN JOV
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
19
Calvin Fodre...
M
7
Jayden Nelso...
F
8
Daniel Perei...
M
20
Nicolas Dube...
M
35
Mateja Đorđe...
D
17
Jon Gallaghe...
D
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
12
Damian Las
G
9
Brandon Vázq...
F
COACH: Nico Estevez
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
93
Shapi Suleym...
F
16
Jacob Bartle...
D
6
Manu García
M
14
Macielo Tsch...
M
13
Justin Reyno...
D
23
Ethan Bartlo...
D
57
Diego Borges
D
1
John Pulskam...
G
17
Stephen Afri...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. De Oliveira
—
AUS MANAGER
Nico Estevez
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
AUS WINS
0
DRAWS
3
SPO WINS
66.7%
33.3%
15 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
3.33
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
07 Sep 2025
Sporting Kansas City
1 – 2
Austin
W
23 Feb 2025
Austin
1 – 0
Sporting Kansas City
W
30 Jun 2024
Sporting Kansas City
2 – 0
Austin
L
19 May 2024
Austin
3 – 2
Sporting Kansas City
W
16 Jul 2023
Austin
2 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
W
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W W
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
AUSTIN #14
Lost · already at 14 pts
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Won · already at 11 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Card · Foul · CJ Fodrey
    7th Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Subst
    10th Substitution
  • 84'
    Subst · CJ Fodrey
    9th Substitution
  • 82'
    Goal · 1-2 · Stephen Afrifa
    3rd Goal
  • 79'
    Goal · 1-1 · Manu García
    2nd Goal
  • 75'
    Subst · Stephen Afrifa
    8th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Brandon Vazquez
    7th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Daniel Pereira
    6th Substitution
  • 71'
    Card · Foul · Jayden Nelson
    6th Yellowcard
  • 64'
    Subst · Justin Reynolds
    5th Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Manu García
    4th Substitution
  • 63'
    Card · Foul · Zorhan Bassong
    5th Yellowcard
  • 63'
    Card
    8th Yellowcard
  • 61'
    Card · Foul
    4th Yellowcard
  • 60'
    Subst · Jon Gallagher
    2nd Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Jayden Nelson
    3rd Substitution
  • 57'
    Card · Foul · Oleksandr Svatok
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 47'
    Card · Foul · Jake Davis
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Shapi Suleymanov
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Goal · 1-0 · Mikkel Desler
    1st Goal
  • 28'
    Card · Foul · Capita
    1st Yellowcard
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
AUSTIN WIN
1.54
64.9% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
4.49
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.85
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
5.24
19.1% implied
↑ best 5.60

Market favors Austin. AI projects AUSTIN 62% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AUSTIN 62% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.53 4.40 5.30 -0.7%
Bet365 1.57 4.33 5.25 -1.1%
Betano 1.57 4.85 5.60 +1.4%
Betfair 1.50 4.50 5.00 -0.2%
BetVictor 1.50 4.60 5.50 +0.3%
Dafabet 1.60 4.50 5.20 -0.2%
Marathonbet 1.51 4.55 5.25 +0.0%
Pinnacle 1.58 4.62 5.33 +0.4%
SBO 1.50 4.47 5.13 -0.4%
Unibet 1.54 4.40 5.25 -0.7%
William Hill 1.55 4.20 4.80 -1.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.80
2.5 O 1.43 U 2.73
3.5 O 2.10 U 1.72
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.51 8 bks
NO
2.40 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.98
Away -0.5 2.45
Away -0.75 2.21
Away -1 1.96
Away -1.25 1.73
Away -1.5 1.56
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.