GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ATLETICO TUCUMAN 38%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 4 · SAT, 08 AUG · 17:45 LOCAL
ATLETICO TUCUMAN
5TH · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D W D
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SARMIENTO JUNIN
D W W W L
· 1ST · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 81' Luciano Vallejo
GOALS
⚽ 69' J. Marabel (P) ⚽ 71' J. Mavilla
J. Mavilla
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
J. Mavilla
Sarmiento Junin · 80 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 11% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.69
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.41
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
11
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
76%
PASS ACCURACY %
66%
12
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mauricio Leonel Martínez
    SAR
  2. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    J. Insaurralde · assist G. Arturia
    SAR
  3. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    J. Contrera · assist U. Giménez
    SAR
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    J. Herrera · assist D. Churín
    SAR
  5. 69'
    Goal · Penalty
    J. Marabel
    SAR
  6. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Mavilla
    SAR
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    F. Nicola · assist M. Brondo
    ATL
  8. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    J. Mavilla · assist G. González
    SAR
  9. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    R. Tesuri · assist L. Di Plácido
    ATL
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    M. Villa · assist R. Granillo
    ATL
  11. 81'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luciano Vallejo · assist C. Ferreira
    ATL
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    N. Laméndola · assist A. Canelo
    ATL
  13. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    J. Marabel · assist Gabriel Díaz
    SAR
  14. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ignacio Galván · assist Ramiro Paunero
    ATL
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Salle
    SAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ATLETICO TUCUMAN AVG 7.2
SARMIENTO JUNIN AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
1.4
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
295.0
PASSES
247.0
76.0%
PASS ACCURACY
66.0%
SET PIECES
12.0
CORNERS
4.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ATLETICO TUCUMAN 5 shots
R. Ruíz Rodríguez
0/2
C. Ferreira
1/1
Ignacio Galván
0/1
Luciano Vallejo
1/1
SARMIENTO JUNIN 3 shots
J. Mavilla
1/2
L. Suárez
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.69 – 1.41
1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 81' 69' 71' H 0.69 A 1.41 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-4-2
4-1-4-1
4-4-2
1
L. INGOLO
 7.2
21
IGNACIO G
 7.2
36
LUCIANO V
 7.6
26
C. FERREI
3
M. VILLA
 6.9
5
J. FERNáN
23
N. LAMéND
10
F. NICOLA
31
L. GODOY
11
R. TESURI
 6.9
18
R. RUíZ R
 6.9
12
T. AYALA
 6.9
3
L. SUáREZ
2
J. INSAUR
44
R. ORIHUE
 6.7
8
S. SALLE
 8.3
21
J. MAVILL
16
MAURICIO
 7.2
15
C. ZABALA
19
J. CONTRE
24
J. HERRER
27
J. MARABE
SUBSTITUTES · ATLETICO TUCUMAN
45
Kevin Ortíz
M
27
R. Granillo
F
8
E. Ham
M
30
M. Brondo
F
28
G. Compagnuc...
D
6
G. Ferrari
D
2
Ramiro Paune...
D
24
L. Di Plácid...
D
17
J. Rodríguez
D
25
T. Durso
G
22
F. Pimienta
F
COACH: Julio Falcioni
SUBSTITUTES · SARMIENTO JUNIN
10
Jhon Renterí...
M
5
M. García
M
35
Facundo Alag...
M
7
P. Magnín
F
22
G. González
F
23
E. Giménez
M
33
Gabriel Díaz
D
29
T. Santamarí...
D
6
G. Arturia
D
20
U. Giménez
D
1
I. Arboleda
G
9
D. Churín
F
COACH: Facundo Sava
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
L. Rey Hilfer
—
ATL MANAGER
Julio Falcioni
head coach
SAR MANAGER
Facundo Sava
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
ATL WINS
1
DRAWS
4
SAR WINS
50%
10%
40%
17 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
08 Feb 2026
Sarmiento Junin
2 – 1
Atletico Tucuman
L
18 Aug 2025
Sarmiento Junin
2 – 2
Atletico Tucuman
D
14 Feb 2025
Atletico Tucuman
5 – 0
Sarmiento Junin
W
04 Nov 2024
Atletico Tucuman
1 – 0
Sarmiento Junin
W
25 Jun 2023
Sarmiento Junin
4 – 1
Atletico Tucuman
L
ATLETICO TUCUMAN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D W D
SARMIENTO JUNIN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
ATLETICO TUCUMAN #5
Lost · already at 9 pts
Knockout Phase
SARMIENTO JUNIN #1
Won · already at 12 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Instituto Cordoba 6 4 1 1 +3 13
D W W W W
1 Sarmiento Junin 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L W L W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W L L W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D D D W D
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
D W L L L
2 Gimnasia M. 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Argentinos JRS 5 4 0 1 +4 12
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Belgrano Cordoba 6 3 1 2 +3 10
L W W D L
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 6 3 3 0 +4 12
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L W L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W W D L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Rosario Central 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W W D L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Defensa Y Justicia 6 3 2 1 0 11
W D W L W
5 Atletico Tucuman 6 2 3 1 +2 9
D W L D W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
D W L L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W D L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 6 3 1 2 +3 10
D W L L W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Barracas Central 6 3 0 3 -1 9
L L L W W
6 Newells Old Boys 6 3 1 2 +2 10
W W L D L
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L W L L W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
D W L L W
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Gimnasia L.P. 6 3 0 3 -2 9
L L W W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
D L W D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Platense 6 2 2 2 -3 8
W D W L L
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
W L L W L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
D L L L D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Deportivo Riestra 6 2 1 3 +1 7
D L W L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Tigre 5 2 2 1 +2 8
D W D W L
9 Huracan 6 2 2 2 0 8
D L W D L
9 Union Santa Fe 6 2 1 3 -1 7
W L L W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
D W W W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L L L W W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Boca Juniors 6 1 4 1 -2 7
D D D W D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
W D W L W
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Independ. Rivadavia 6 2 2 2 -1 8
D L W L W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D W D W L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W W L W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W W W L
11 San Lorenzo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D W L L W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Banfield 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L W L D W
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 0 4 0 6
L W L L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L W L D W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
W D W L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Racing Club 6 1 2 3 -3 5
D L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L W W L L
13 Lanus 5 2 0 3 0 6
L W L L W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W L D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 6 1 2 3 -4 5
D L L D L
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago 5 2 0 3 -2 6
L W W L L
14 River Plate 6 1 1 4 -2 4
D W L L L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L D L L L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W W L D L
15 Aldosivi 6 0 2 4 -5 2
L D L L L
15 Talleres Cordoba 5 1 0 4 -4 3
L L W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L L D L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D L W L L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Salle
    Foul
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ignacio Galván
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · J. Marabel
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · N. Laméndola
  • 81'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luciano Vallejo
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · M. Villa
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · R. Tesuri
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · J. Mavilla
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · F. Nicola
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Mavilla
  • 69'
    Goal · Penalty · J. Marabel
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · J. Herrera
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Contrera
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · J. Insaurralde
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mauricio Leonel Martínez
    Foul
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
ATLETICO TUCUMAN WIN
1.86
53.8% implied
↑ best 1.90
DRAW
3.08
32.5% implied
↑ best 3.25
SARMIENTO JUNIN WIN
4.87
20.5% implied
↑ best 5.67

Market favors Atletico Tucuman. AI projects ATLETICO TUCUMAN 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATLETICO TUCUMAN 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.20 4.35 +7.0%
1xBet 1.90 2.98 5.19 +10.7%
888Sport 1.85 2.90 4.80 +9.2%
Bet365 1.83 3.25 5.00 +10.0%
Betano 1.90 3.05 5.20 +10.8%
Betfair 1.85 3.25 4.50 +7.8%
BetVictor 1.87 3.20 4.75 +8.9%
Dafabet 1.85 3.15 4.70 +8.7%
Marathonbet 1.87 2.96 5.00 +10.0%
Pinnacle 1.90 3.01 5.67 +12.4%
SBO 1.84 2.92 4.12 +5.7%
Superbet 1.90 3.10 4.85 +9.4%
Unibet 1.76 3.25 5.20 +10.8%
William Hill 1.85 2.90 4.80 +9.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.51 U 2.45
2.5 O 2.55 U 1.46
3.5 O 5.12 U 1.15
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.25 11 bks
NO
1.58 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.35
Away -0.5 1.95
Away -0.75 1.67
Away -1 1.44
Away -1.25 1.34
Away -1.5 1.27
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.