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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · ATLANTA UNITED FC 92% · Value: Over 2.5 88%
CONF 86 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 19 · SAT, 15 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
ATLANTA UNITED FC
15TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L L D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
NEW YORK RED BULLS
D L W L L
· 8TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 69' Tristan Muyumba ⚽ 82' Fafà Picault
GOALS
⚽ 6' E. Forsberg
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 6'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    E. Forsberg · assist A. Mehmeti
    NEW
  2. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tomás Jacob
    ATL
  3. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matthew Edwards · assist Stian Gregersen
    ATL
  4. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tristan Muyumba · assist Aleksey Miranchuk
    ATL
  5. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. Jimenez · assist J. Ruvalcaba
    NEW
  6. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    C. Cowell · assist C. Harper
    NEW
  7. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    E. Forsberg · assist M. Sofo
    NEW
  8. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    M. Dos Santos · assist Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
    NEW
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Elías Báez · assist Ronald Hernández
    ATL
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Cooper Sanchez · assist Steven Alzate
    ATL
  11. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fafà Picault · assist Miguel Almirón
    ATL
  12. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fafà Picault
    ATL
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Fafà Picault · assist Sergio Santos
    ATL
  14. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Miguel Almirón · assist Luke Brennan
    ATL
  15. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    A. Mehmeti · assist E. Choupo-Moting
    NEW
  16. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Sofo
    NEW
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
Lineups were not recorded for this fixture.
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ATL WINS
3
DRAWS
4
NEW WINS
30%
30%
40%
10 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
31 May 2025
New York Red Bulls
2 – 0
Atlanta United FC
L
09 Mar 2025
Atlanta United FC
0 – 0
New York Red Bulls
D
05 Oct 2024
Atlanta United FC
2 – 1
New York Red Bulls
W
21 Sep 2024
New York Red Bulls
2 – 2
Atlanta United FC
D
24 Jun 2023
New York Red Bulls
4 – 0
Atlanta United FC
L
ATLANTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L L D
NEW YORK RED BULLS LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
ATLANTA UNITED FC #15
Won · already at 18 pts
NEW YORK RED BULLS #8
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Sofo
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · A. Mehmeti
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Miguel Almirón
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Fafà Picault
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fafà Picault
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fafà Picault
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Cooper Sanchez
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Elías Báez
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · M. Dos Santos
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · E. Forsberg
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · C. Cowell
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Jimenez
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tristan Muyumba
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matthew Edwards
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tomás Jacob
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 6'
    Goal · Normal Goal · E. Forsberg
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
ATLANTA UNITED F WIN
2.01
49.8% implied
↑ best 2.10
DRAW
3.94
25.4% implied
↑ best 4.05
NEW YORK RED BUL WIN
3.21
31.2% implied
↑ best 3.40

Market favors Atlanta United FC. AI projects ATLANTA UNITED FC 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATLANTA UNITED FC 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.97 3.95 3.25 +41.2%
888Sport 1.95 4.00 3.00 +40.7%
Bet365 2.00 3.90 3.40 +42.0%
Betano 2.10 4.05 3.35 +44.4%
Betfair 2.00 3.90 3.25 +42.0%
BetVictor 2.00 4.00 3.13 +42.0%
Dafabet 2.05 4.00 3.30 +43.2%
Marathonbet 1.98 3.82 3.28 +41.5%
Pinnacle 2.05 4.03 3.36 +43.2%
SBO 2.05 3.74 3.00 +43.2%
Unibet 2.02 3.90 3.15 +42.5%
William Hill 1.95 4.00 3.00 +40.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.16
2.5 O 1.41 U 2.80
3.5 O 2.03 U 1.76
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.37 9 bks
NO
2.88 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.03
Away -0.5 1.80
Away -0.75 1.63
Away -1 1.44
Away -1.25 1.36
Away -1.5 1.29
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.