GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ATLANTA UNITED FC 38% · Value: BTTS Yes 61%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SAT, 09 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
ATLANTA UNITED FC
14TH · 11 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W W L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
D W L D W
· 9TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 70' Ajani Fortune
GOALS
⚽ 74' Gabriel Pec ⚽ 79' Gabriel Pec
Gabriel Pec
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gabriel Pec
Los Angeles Galaxy · 91 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 21% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.95
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.72
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
9
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
6
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 26'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Stian Gregersen
    ATL
  2. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cooper Sanchez
    ATL
  3. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Juan Berrocal
    ATL
  4. 42'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Juan Berrocal
    ATL
  5. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    ATL
  6. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jakob Glesnes
    LOS
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matías Galarza · assist Ajani Fortune
    ATL
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Justin Haak · assist Marco Reus
    LOS
  9. 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ajani Fortune · assist Elías Báez
    ATL
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Saba Lobzhanidze · assist Luke Brennan
    ATL
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Emmanuel Latte Lath · assist Cayman Togashi
    ATL
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lucas Sanabria · assist Elijah Wynder
    LOS
  13. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Harbor Miller · assist Erik Thommy
    LOS
  14. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Pec · assist Marco Reus
    LOS
  15. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Pec
    LOS
  16. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Juan Berrocal · assist Enea Mihaj
    ATL
  17. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Cooper Sanchez · assist Sergio Santos
    ATL
  18. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Joseph Paintsil · assist Maya Yoshida
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ATLANTA UNITED FC AVG 7.5
LOS ANGELES GALAXY AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
1.7
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
3.0
ON TARGET
6.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
422.0
PASSES
387.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
5.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
4.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ATLANTA UNITED FC 5 shots
Saba Lobzhanidze
2/3
Ajani Fortune
1/1
Aleksey Miranchuk
0/1
LOS ANGELES GALAXY 5 shots
Gabriel Pec
4/5
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.95 – 1.72
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 70' 74' 79' H 0.95 A 1.72 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 61%
39% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
7.7
1
LUCAS HOY
3
ELíAS BáE
6
JUAN BERR
5
STIAN GRE
55
TOMáS JAC
 7.7
8
TRISTAN M
 7.3
11
SABA LOBZ
88
MATíAS GA
48
COOPER SA
 7.2
59
ALEKSEY M
9
EMMANUEL
 7.3
12
JT MARCIN
14
JOHN NELS
 7.3
25
CARLOS GA
5
JAKOB GLE
 7.7
19
MAURICIO
 7.2
6
EDWIN CER
15
JUSTIN HA
26
HARBOR MI
8
LUCAS SAN
 8.3
11
GABRIEL P
28
JOSEPH PA
SUBSTITUTES · ATLANTA UNITED FC
30
Cayman Togas...
F
35
Ajani Fortun...
M
28
William Reil...
M
20
Luke Brennan
M
47
Matthew Edwa...
D
18
Pedro Amador
D
4
Enea Mihaj
D
42
Jayden Hibbe...
G
19
Sergio Santo...
F
COACH: Gerardo Martino
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES GALAXY
27
Erik Thommy
M
18
Marco Reus
M
22
Elijah Wynde...
M
16
Isaiah Paren...
M
76
Troy Elgersm...
M
2
Miki Yamane
D
4
Maya Yoshida
D
1
Novak Mićovi...
G
24
Ruben Ramos
F
COACH: Greg Vanney
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Bazakos
—
ATL MANAGER
Gerardo Martino
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Greg Vanney
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ATL WINS
0
DRAWS
2
LOS WINS
60%
40%
9 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 5 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 5
25 Aug 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 0
Atlanta United FC
L
25 Jul 2022
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 0
Atlanta United FC
L
03 Aug 2019
Atlanta United FC
3 – 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
22 Apr 2018
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 – 2
Atlanta United FC
W
20 Sep 2017
Atlanta United FC
4 – 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
ATLANTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W L
LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
ATLANTA UNITED FC #14
Lost · already at 11 pts
LOS ANGELES GALAXY #9
Won · already at 20 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Joseph Paintsil
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Cooper Sanchez
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Juan Berrocal
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Pec
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Pec
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Harbor Miller
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lucas Sanabria
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Emmanuel Latte Lath
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Saba Lobzhanidze
  • 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ajani Fortune
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Justin Haak
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matías Galarza
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jakob Glesnes
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 42'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Juan Berrocal
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Juan Berrocal
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · Cooper Sanchez
  • 26'
    Card · Yellow Card · Stian Gregersen
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
ATLANTA UNITED F WIN
2.31
43.3% implied
↑ best 2.38
DRAW
3.53
28.3% implied
↑ best 3.70
LOS ANGELES GALA WIN
2.86
35% implied
↑ best 3.00

Market favors Atlanta United FC. AI projects ATLANTA UNITED FC 38% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATLANTA UNITED FC 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.28 3.60 2.82 +0.2%
888Sport 2.25 3.40 2.80 -1.4%
Bet365 2.30 3.50 3.00 +0.7%
Betano 2.35 3.55 2.92 -0.2%
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.88 +0.2%
BetVictor 2.30 3.60 2.80 +0.2%
Dafabet 2.36 3.70 2.90 +1.0%
Marathonbet 2.30 3.50 2.85 -0.6%
Pinnacle 2.37 3.65 2.96 +0.6%
SBO 2.31 3.40 2.76 -1.4%
Unibet 2.38 3.45 2.80 -1.0%
William Hill 2.25 3.40 2.80 -1.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.42
2.5 O 1.65 U 2.20
3.5 O 2.59 U 1.47
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 9 bks
NO
2.39 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.81
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.45
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.