GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ATHLETIC CLUB 46%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
ATHLETIC CLUB
12TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L W L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
CELTA VIGO
W L W W L
· 6TH · 54 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 52' Iñaki Williams
GOALS
⚽ 4' Williot Swedberg
Yuri Berchiche
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yuri Berchiche
Athletic Club · 91 mins
🅰 1 assist · 65% pass acc
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.32
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.15
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
24
TOTAL SHOTS
3
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
5
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Williot Swedberg · assist Ilaix Moriba
    CEL
  2. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Javier Rueda
    CEL
  3. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yuri Berchiche
    ATH
  4. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ionuț Radu
    CEL
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Unai Gómez · assist Robert Navarro
    ATH
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Javier Rueda · assist Óscar Mingueza
    CEL
  7. 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Iñaki Williams · assist Yuri Berchiche
    ATH
  8. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ferran Jutglà · assist Pablo Durán
    CEL
  9. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Borja Iglesias · assist Iago Aspas
    CEL
  10. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Aymeric Laporte
    ATH
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mikel Jauregizar · assist Alejandro Rego
    ATH
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Williot Swedberg · assist Hugo Álvarez
    CEL
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gorka Guruzeta · assist Maroan Sannadi
    ATH
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Álex Berenguer · assist Nico Serrano
    ATH
  15. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Iñaki Williams · assist Urko Izeta
    ATH
  16. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Fer López · assist Matías Vecino
    CEL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ATHLETIC CLUB AVG 7.5
CELTA VIGO AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
0.2
24.0
TOTAL SHOTS
3.0
8.0
ON TARGET
2.0
12.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
499.0
PASSES
380.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
0.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ATHLETIC CLUB 7 shots
Iñaki Williams
3/6
Yuri Berchiche
0/1
CELTA VIGO 1 shots
Williot Swedberg
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.32 – 0.15
1.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 52' 4' H 2.32 A 0.15 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
4-2-3-1
3-4-3
1
UNAI SIMó
 9.0
17
YURI BERC
14
AYMERIC L
 7.2
5
YERAY ÁLV
 7.2
2
GOROSABEL
18
MIKEL JAU
 7.3
16
IñIGO RUI
7
ÁLEX BERE
20
UNAI GóME
 6.9
9
IñAKI WIL
11
GORKA GUR
 7.5
13
IONUț RAD
 6.9
20
MARCOS AL
29
YOEL LAGO
 7.2
32
JAVI RODR
5
SERGIO CA
 7.0
6
ILAIX MOR
8
FER LóPEZ
17
JAVIER RU
 7.3
19
WILLIOT S
7
BORJA IGL
9
FERRAN JU
SUBSTITUTES · ATHLETIC CLUB
22
Nico Serrano
F
6
Mikel Vesga
M
44
Selton Sanch...
M
21
Maroan Sanna...
F
4
Aitor Parede...
D
19
Adama Boiro
D
12
Jesús Areso
D
15
Íñigo Lekue
D
27
Alex Padilla
G
30
Alejandro Re...
M
23
Robert Navar...
M
25
Urko Izeta
F
COACH: Ernesto Valverde
SUBSTITUTES · CELTA VIGO
21
Mihailo Rist...
D
14
Alvaro Núñez
D
15
Matías Vecin...
M
22
Hugo Sotelo
M
12
Manu Fernánd...
D
4
Joseph Aidoo
D
1
Iván Villar
G
23
Hugo Álvarez
M
18
Pablo Durán
F
10
Iago Aspas
F
3
Óscar Mingue...
D
39
Jones El-Abd...
F
COACH: Claudio Giraldez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ATH · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
—
ATH MANAGER
Ernesto Valverde
head coach
CEL MANAGER
Claudio Giraldez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
ATH WINS
1
DRAWS
4
CEL WINS
50%
10%
40%
13 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Dec 2025
Celta Vigo
2 – 0
Athletic Club
L
19 Jan 2025
Celta Vigo
1 – 2
Athletic Club
W
22 Sep 2024
Athletic Club
3 – 1
Celta Vigo
W
15 May 2024
Celta Vigo
2 – 1
Athletic Club
L
10 Nov 2023
Athletic Club
4 – 3
Celta Vigo
W
ATHLETIC CLUB LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W L
CELTA VIGO LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
ATHLETIC CLUB #12
Lost · already at 45 pts
CELTA VIGO #6
Lost · already at 54 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Fer López
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Iñaki Williams
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Álex Berenguer
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gorka Guruzeta
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Williot Swedberg
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mikel Jauregizar
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Aymeric Laporte
    Tripping
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Borja Iglesias
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ferran Jutglà
  • 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Iñaki Williams
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Javier Rueda
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Unai Gómez
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ionuț Radu
    Delay of game
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yuri Berchiche
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · Javier Rueda
    Foul
  • 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Williot Swedberg
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ATHLETIC CLUB WIN
2.25
44.4% implied
↑ best 2.36
DRAW
3.14
31.8% implied
↑ best 3.25
CELTA VIGO WIN
3.43
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.53

Market favors Athletic Club. AI projects ATHLETIC CLUB 46%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATHLETIC CLUB 46% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.22 3.15 3.30 +1.0%
1xBet 2.36 3.24 3.53 +3.6%
888Sport 2.20 3.00 3.40 +0.5%
Bet365 2.25 3.20 3.40 +1.6%
Betano 2.25 3.20 3.45 +1.6%
Betfair 2.20 2.88 3.50 +0.5%
BetVictor 2.25 3.10 3.50 +1.6%
Dafabet 2.26 3.25 3.45 +1.8%
Marathonbet 2.31 3.20 3.50 +2.7%
Pinnacle 2.30 3.25 3.51 +2.5%
SBO 2.23 3.15 3.19 +1.2%
Unibet 2.23 3.15 3.45 +1.2%
William Hill 2.25 3.00 3.40 +1.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.37 U 2.97
2.5 O 2.19 U 1.68
3.5 O 3.82 U 1.24
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.86 10 bks
NO
1.87 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.92
Away -0.5 1.66
Away -0.75 1.47
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.