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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 5 · WED, 20 MAY · 00:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
ALWAYS READY
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME
MIRASSOL
⚽ 75' J. Maraude
GOALS
⚽ 11' Shaylon ⚽ 82' Nathan Fogaça
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 88/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ALW
1 – 2
MIR
most likely scoreline · 13.9% probability
AI PICKS MIRASSOL TO WIN 93%
FT 1 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ALW WIN 2%
DRAW 5%
MIR WIN 93%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
MIRASSOL TO WIN

AI consensus across 93% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 93% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match effectively over: Mirassol 2-1 up at 90' with red card (10v11), 0 min remaining. Away win locks in.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ALWAYS READY CHALLENGED
2%
Always Ready 1-1 H2H record but now trailing decisively with zero time
+20.0%
WHY MIRASSOL FAVORED
93%
Match effectively over: Mirassol 2-1 up at 90' with red card (10v11), 0 min remaining. Away win locks in.
+30.0%
90' minute mark with Mirassol 2-goal lead and down to 10 men after red card
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Mirassol's league-leading position (1st, 10 pts) vs Always Ready 4th (4 pts) confirms quality gap
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 11' SHAYLON ⚽ 75' J. MARAUDE ⚽ 82' NATHAN FOG
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
11.8
13.9
10.9
6.4
3.0
1.2
1
3.2
7.5
8.9
7.0
4.1
1.9
0.8
2
1.0
2.4
2.8
2.2
1.3
0.6
0.2
3
0.2
0.5
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
·
4
·
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
5
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 13.9%
0 — 1 11.8%
0 — 3 10.9%
1 — 2 8.9%
1 — 1 7.5%
Top 5 = 52.9% · rest 47.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.96
93.0%
1.08
+82.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
98.0%
1.02
+26.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
95.0%
1.05
+15.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.95
18.0%
5.56
-65.0%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.91
15.0%
6.67
-71.4%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.07
5.0%
20.00
-79.6%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.18
7.0%
14.29
-84.7%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.20
2.0%
50.00
-89.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.