World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · SUN, 28 JUN · 02:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
ALGERIA
4'
0 0
AUSTRIA
⚽ 45' Rafik Belghali ⚽ 60' Riyad Mahrez ⚽ 90+3' Riyad Mahrez
GOALS
⚽ 28' Marko Arnautović ⚽ 55' Marcel Sabitzer ⚽ 90+6' Saša Kalajdžić
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 72/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ALG
3 3
AUS
most likely scoreline · 5.2% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
LIVE · 4' 0 – 0
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 3 – 3
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
ALG WIN 40%
DRAW 48%
AUS WIN 12%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
BTTS YES

AI projects 98% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 98% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ OVER 3.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

3-3 at 90' with extra time likely; Algeria's home dominance (2 late goals) favours draw or narrow home win.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ALGERIA CHALLENGED
40%
3-3 at 90' with extra time likely; Algeria's home dominance (2 late goals) favours draw or narrow home win.
+30.0%
Dead level at full-time (90') — extra time incoming; momentum slightly favours Algeria (2 goals in final minutes)
+25.0%
WHY AUSTRIA CHALLENGED
12%
Both teams already scored 3+ — extraordinary offensive output makes goalless/low-scoring outcomes near-impossible
+20.0%
Austria away form poor (L); Algeria home form strong (W) — slight edge to hosts in extra time
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Both teams already scored 3+ — extraordinary offensive output makes goalless/low-scoring outcomes near-impossible
  • Austria away form poor (L); Algeria home form strong (W) — slight edge to hosts in extra time
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 28' MARKO ARNA 45' RAFIK BELG 55' MARCEL SAB 60' RIYAD MAHR 93' RIYAD MAHR 96' SAšA KALA 4' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 6 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 5.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.3
0.7
1.0
1.0
0.7
0.4
0.2
1
0.8
2.2
3.2
3.1
2.2
1.3
0.6
2
1.2
3.5
5.0
4.8
3.5
2.0
1.0
3
1.2
3.6
5.2
5.0
3.6
2.1
1.0
4
1.0
2.8
4.0
3.9
2.8
1.6
0.8
5
0.6
1.7
2.5
2.4
1.8
1.0
0.5
6+
0.3
0.9
1.3
1.3
0.9
0.5
0.3
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
3 — 2 5.2%
2 — 2 5.0%
3 — 3 5.0%
2 — 3 4.8%
4 — 2 4.0%
Top 5 = 24.1% · rest 76.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.32
92.0%
1.09
+205.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.21
98.0%
1.02
+116.6%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.48
40.0%
2.50
+39.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
88.0%
1.14
+14.6%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.03
48.0%
2.08
-2.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.68
52.0%
1.92
-12.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
60.0%
1.67
-22.3%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.57
12.0%
8.33
-57.1%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.