GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ALAVES 42%
CONF 32 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 25 APR · 12:00 LOCAL
ALAVES
16TH · 36 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D W D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
MALLORCA
D W W L W
· 17TH · 35 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 56' Toni Martínez ⚽ 69' Toni Martínez
GOALS
⚽ 18' Jan Virgili
Toni Martínez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Toni Martínez
Alaves · 81 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 19% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 4 CLIPS

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La Liga: Alavés vs Mallorca
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La Liga: Alavés vs Mallorca
La Liga: Alavés vs Mallorca
La Liga: Alavés vs Mallorca
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.09
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.28
50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
4
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
9
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 4'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lucas Boyé · assist Ibrahim Diabaté
    ALA
  2. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jan Virgili · assist Samú Costa
    MAL
  3. 26'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jonny Otto
    ALA
  4. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Toni Martínez · assist Abderrahman Rebbach
    ALA
  5. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Martin Valjent
    MAL
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Carles Aleñá · assist Denis Suárez
    ALA
  7. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Toni Martínez · assist Ángel Pérez
    ALA
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pablo Torre · assist Manu Morlanes
    MAL
  9. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Victor Parada
    ALA
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Toni Martínez · assist Jon Guridi
    ALA
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ángel Pérez · assist Calebe Gonçalves
    ALA
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Victor Parada · assist Jon Pacheco
    ALA
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sergi Darder · assist Abdón Prats
    MAL
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pablo Maffeo · assist Mateu Morey
    MAL
  15. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Johan Mojica · assist Toni Lato
    MAL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ALAVES AVG 7.4
MALLORCA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
0.3
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
7.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
401.0
PASSES
416.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ALAVES 4 shots
Toni Martínez
2/2
Nahuel Tenaglia
1/1
Jonny Otto
0/1
MALLORCA 1 shots
Jan Virgili
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.09 – 0.28
0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 56' 69' 18' H 1.09 A 0.28 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-3-2 vs 4-3-1-2
5-3-2
4-3-1-2
1
ANTONIO S
21
ABDERRAHM
24
VICTOR PA
 6.9
14
NAHUEL TE
 6.9
17
JONNY OTT
 7.0
7
ÁNGEL PéR
10
CARLES AL
8
ANTONIO B
19
PABLO IBá
15
LUCAS BOY
 9.2
11
TONI MART
 7.2
1
LEO ROMáN
22
JOHAN MOJ
 6.9
24
MARTIN VA
27
DAVID LóP
23
PABLO MAF
10
SERGI DAR
 7.3
5
OMAR MASC
12
SAMú COST
20
PABLO TOR
 7.3
17
JAN VIRGI
7
VEDAT MUR
SUBSTITUTES · ALAVES
20
Calebe Gonça...
M
4
Denis Suárez
M
6
Ander Guevar...
M
18
Jon Guridi
M
27
Egoitz Muñoz
D
5
Jon Pacheco
D
16
Ville Koski
D
3
Youssef Enri...
D
13
Raúl Fernánd...
G
31
Grégoire Swi...
G
22
Ibrahim Diab...
F
9
M. Diaz
F
COACH: Quique Sanchez Flores
SUBSTITUTES · MALLORCA
6
Antonio Sánc...
M
30
Justin-Noel...
F
19
Javi Llabrés
F
8
Manu Morlane...
M
39
Jandro Garcí...
M
28
Cesc Riba
M
11
Takuma Asano
F
3
Toni Lato
D
34
Javier Olaiz...
D
2
Mateu Morey
D
25
Iván Cuéllar
G
9
Abdón Prats
F
COACH: Martin Demichelis
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ALA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
—
ALA MANAGER
Quique Sanchez Flores
head coach
MAL MANAGER
Martin Demichelis
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ALA WINS
3
DRAWS
4
MAL WINS
30%
30%
40%
8 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Sep 2025
Mallorca
1 – 0
Alaves
L
02 Mar 2025
Mallorca
1 – 1
Alaves
D
01 Nov 2024
Alaves
1 – 0
Mallorca
W
24 Feb 2024
Alaves
1 – 1
Mallorca
D
03 Dec 2023
Mallorca
0 – 0
Alaves
D
ALAVES LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D W D
MALLORCA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
ALAVES #16
Won · already at 36 pts
MALLORCA #17
Lost · already at 35 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 33 28 1 4 +57 85
W W W W W
2 Real Madrid 33 23 5 5 +37 74
D W D L W
3 Villarreal 33 20 5 8 +21 65
W D W L W
4 Atletico Madrid 33 18 6 9 +19 60
W L L L L
5 Real Betis 33 12 14 7 +8 50
D W D D L
6 Getafe 33 13 5 15 -6 44
L W L W W
7 Celta Vigo 33 11 11 11 +2 44
L L L W L
8 Real Sociedad 33 11 10 12 0 43
D L D W L
9 Osasuna 33 11 9 13 -1 42
W L D D W
10 Athletic Club 33 12 5 16 -12 41
L W L L W
11 Rayo Vallecano 33 9 12 12 -8 39
D W L W L
12 Valencia 33 10 9 14 -11 39
W D L L W
13 Espanyol 33 10 9 14 -12 39
D L L D L
14 Elche 33 9 11 13 -6 38
W W W L W
15 Girona 33 9 11 13 -14 38
L L D W L
16 Alaves 33 9 9 15 -11 36
W L D D W
17 Mallorca 33 9 8 16 -10 35
L D W W L
18 Sevilla 33 9 7 17 -15 34
L L W L L
19 Levante 33 8 9 16 -13 33
D W W L W
20 Oviedo 33 6 10 17 -25 28
L D W W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Johan Mojica
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pablo Maffeo
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sergi Darder
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Victor Parada
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ángel Pérez
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Toni Martínez
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Victor Parada
    Roughing
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pablo Torre
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Toni Martínez
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Carles Aleñá
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Martin Valjent
    Roughing
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Toni Martínez
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 26'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jonny Otto
    Tripping
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jan Virgili
  • 4'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lucas Boyé
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ALAVES WIN
2.08
48.1% implied
↑ best 2.16
DRAW
3.26
30.7% implied
↑ best 3.40
MALLORCA WIN
3.73
26.8% implied
↑ best 4.00

Market favors Alaves. AI projects ALAVES 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ALAVES 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.05 3.30 3.60 +2.2%
1xBet 2.16 3.40 3.86 +4.1%
888Sport 2.05 3.10 3.60 +2.2%
Bet365 2.05 3.25 4.00 +5.0%
Betano 2.10 3.25 3.75 +3.3%
Betfair 2.05 3.25 3.75 +3.3%
BetVictor 2.05 3.30 3.80 +3.7%
Dafabet 2.10 3.35 3.75 +3.3%
Marathonbet 2.12 3.35 3.82 +3.8%
Pinnacle 2.13 3.36 3.84 +4.0%
SBO 2.06 3.20 3.32 -0.1%
Unibet 2.10 3.20 3.75 +3.3%
William Hill 2.05 3.10 3.60 +2.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.31
2.5 O 1.99 U 1.83
3.5 O 3.36 U 1.30
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.76 10 bks
NO
1.98 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.07
Away -0.5 1.76
Away -0.75 1.56
Away -1 1.35
Away -1.25 1.28
Away -1.5 1.22
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.